Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucuses, 2020

  • Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucuses, 2020

    Wahlfieber Team, 24.02.2020 20:10
    #1

    Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucuses, 2020

    The best predictions:

    1. CBS News / YouGov

    2. Emerson

    3. Wahlfieber.com

    **********

    IA 2020 DEMBidButKloSanWar
    Others
    SumMAFMAPFMQFR
    Caucus


























    Predictions 2020


























    Prediction markets *












    Wahlfieber - final22,3913,879,8023,5316,21
    14,20
    204,605,49148,2150,91
    Wahlfieber - 7 days21,0017,0010,0024,0016,00
    12,00
    167,524,84123,8538,83
    weitere Wahlbörsen








































    Polls












    F R A - D. Binder15,0019,0011,0017,0015,00
    23,00
    381,358,03244,38128,94
    Emerson21,0015,0011,0028,0015,00
    10,00
    124,433,6299,9520,86
    DFP/Civiqs15,0015,008,0028,0021,00
    13,00
    184,285,02138,8340,42
    USA Today - Suffolk25,0018,006,0019,0013,00
    19,00
    314,567,72206,30100,54
    Monmouth23,0016,0010,0021,0015,00
    15,00
    226,025,84156,2863,90
    Iowa St / Civiqs15,0017,0011,0024,0014,00
    14,00
    205,895,70149,6450,55
    NY Times17,0018,008,0025,0015,00
    17,00
    235,785,24175,0355,51
    CBS News / YouGov25,0022,007,0026,0015,00
    5,00
    97,485,0561,3331,10
    CNN / DMR15,0016,006,0020,0017,00
    26,00
    424,078,24277,61138,22




























    Others












    538


























    Durchschnittswerte ***












    Prediction markets **22,3913,879,8023,5316,21
    14,20
    204,605,49148,2150,91
    Polls **19,0017,338,6723,1116,11
    15,78
    225,225,46163,5356,24














    Results 202017,5715,359,6333,9912,81
    1,59





    First Alignment
    BidButKloSanWar
    Others
    SumMAFMAPFMQFR








    XXXXX
    XXXXXXXX


















    Legende:

    Namenskürzel:

    • Bid - Joe Biden
    • Blo - Mike Bloomberg
    • But - Pete Buttigieg
    • Klo - Amy Klobuchar
    • San - Bernie Sanders
    • Ste - Tom Steyer
    • War - Elizabeth Warren

    Links:

    Anmerkungen:

    Die häufig vom realen Ergebnis erheblich abweichende CNN-Umfrage wird hier angeführt, da sie auf den Wahlseiten von CNN (s.a. obiger Link) stets als erste, quasi Referenzumfrage aufgelistet wird.

    Log in
    30,573 Participants » Who is online

    Fine music for political ears

    What we predict...

    Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

    Our focus

    Germany / Austria / Switzerland
    All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

    Europe
    Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

    USA
    All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

    UK
    All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

    Worldwide
    National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


    Important elections in 2023

    • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
    • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
    • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

    How does this work?

    This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

    Found an error?
    Your Feedback?

    Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com