USA: Warmlaufen für die Präsidentschaftswahl 2012

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  • RE: conventionbounce

    Wanli, 12.09.2012 20:02, Reply to #122

    Die Umfragezahlen beider Kandidaten nähern sich wieder an:

    Rasmussen [rasmussenreports.com] is now yet another polling group that suggests Barack Obama's convention bounce has disappeared.

    Among likely voters, the president leads Mitt Romney, 46%-45%, and when leaners are included, Romney actually inches ahead, 48%-47%.

    Soon after the convention, Obama jumped to a 5% lead on Romney in Rasmussen polling, leading to a GOP mini-panic.

    Yesterday, an ABC/Washington Post survey [washingtonpost.com] had Obama leading by just 1% and a Monday IBD/CSM/TIPP poll [tipponline.com] had him up just 2%.

    Gallup, though, showed a 6% Obama lead yesterday, but it's important to note that Gallup's tracking poll is based on a 7 day rolling average, so it's not surprising that some of the bounce is still in the modest trampoline.

    http://gop12.thehill.com/2012/09/rasmussen-obamas-convention-bounce-is.html


    Update: Gallup hat neue Zahlen, denen zufolge Obama sieben Punkte vor Romney liegen soll - ziemlich dramatischer Unterschied zu den anderen Pollstern. Das dürfte allersings auch daran liegen, dass hier Wahlberechtigte und nicht wahrscheinliche Wähler befragt wurden.

    http://gop12.thehill.com/2012/09/gallup-obama-up-7.html

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