in Switzerland:

What will be the party strength (in percent) of the small parties in the Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 in the canton Vaud?

Participants: 67
Market opening: 16.09.2015 20:00
Market close: 18.10.2015 03:11
Top trader: last-exit

Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Vaud

This market is inactive. No predictions can currently be made.

Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Vaud (small parties)

Question of the market:
What will be the party strength (in percent) of the small parties in the Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 in the canton Vaud?

Shares:
The shares below can be traded:

Market opening:
16.09.2015 20:00

Market close:
18.10.2015 03:11

Market value:
0.00

Trading range:
0.01 - 10.00

Initial seed capital:

Payout rules
The party strength all over Switzerland in percent defined the issuing or starting price of the party stocks at the launch of the election stock market.

Every share held by a trader in his/her portfolio at the end of the stock market will be paid out according to the actual result of this share after the election.

Explications to the market question
For trading on the election stock market the value «party strength» has been defined as the expected value for the party stocks. The Federal Office of Statistics defines party strength as the «contingent of votes a party gained, in relation to the sum of all valid votes».

Definition of the stock «Others»
The stock «Others» includes all parties in the market «House of Representatives – Party strength» that are not listed with an own, named stock.

Share splitting
Under some circumstances a share - usually the stock «Others» - can be split to generate a new, additional share in the market. This could be e.g. a party, which was not yet present in the current market with a share oft its own.

For the procedure of splitting the trading will be stopped for a short time. In the meantime the new share is generated and placed into the market while split up from the existing share «Others». Any merchant holding the existing share obtains additionally the same number of the new (split) shares at the same price.

Log in
30,633 Participants » Who is online

Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
Your Feedback?

Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com