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How many votes (in %) will the parties win in the United Kingdom general election, 2024?

Participants: 26
Market opening: 23.05.2024 21:45
Market close: 04.07.2024 16:30
Top trader: gruener (Luddit)

United Kingdom general election, 2024

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Shares - list (bought back)

Share Name Prediction
ø 1 day		 Prediction
ø 3 days		 Prediction
ø 7 days		 Closing price Result
Total 100,00 % 100,00 % 100,00 % 100,00 % 100,00 %
Tories Conservative Party 20,68 % 20,65 % 20,95 % 18,34 % 23,70 %
Labour Labour Party 39,00 % 38,94 % 38,07 % 39,94 % 33,69 %
Lib Dems Liberal Democrats 11,20 % 11,18 % 11,34 % 11,47 % 12,22 %
SNP Scottish National Party 2,90 % 2,90 % 2,94 % 2,97 % 2,52 %
Greens Green Party (GPEW + SGP) 4,65 % 4,65 % 4,71 % 5,92 % 6,71 %
Reform Reform UK (Ex-Brexit Party) 17,62 % 17,59 % 17,85 % 17,30 % 14,29 %
PC Plaid Cymru 0,52 % 0,66 % 0,67 % 0,54 % 0,68 %
Andere Andere Parteien (+Speaker) 3,43 % 3,42 % 3,47 % 3,51 % 6,19 %
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Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

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