PJ on political stock market

Registered since:
16.02.2008

Current posts from PJ

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
1 10
10 12
Steiermark state election, 2024 15 47
Aargau state election, 2024 7 19
Basel-City state election, 2024 6 19
Vorarlberg state election, 2024 15 31
Schaffhausen state election, 2024 3 17
Brandenburg state election, 2024 16 44
German European Parliament election, 2024 17 48
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 15 37
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 19 31
Innsbruck local election, 2024 19 31
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 23 76
5 17
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 18 35
Thurgau state election, 2024 2 24
7 28
St. Gallen state election, 2024 18 21
Salzburg local election, 2024 14 37
Austrian general election,2024 33 85
Berlin state election, 2023 16 55
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 36
German general election, 2021 61 81
Berlin state election, 2021 46 60
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 19 50
Lower Saxony local elections, 2021 9 31
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 32 54
17 55
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 34
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 22 47
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 22 47
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 24 53
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 21 45
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 35 55
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 (kleine Parteien) 15 37
Landtagswahl Südtirol 2018 6 23
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 31 66
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 (kleine Parteien) 26 53
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 43 71
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Potsdam 2018 32 39
US-Senate elections 2018 14 30
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2017 (kleine Parteien) 24 47
Landtagswahl Saarland 2017 (kleine Parteien) 16 38
Landtagswahl Saarland 2017 30 56
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 94 179
Gemeinderatswahlen Graz 2012 (kleine Parteien) 33 95
Graz local election, 2013 113 144
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 93 439
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 100 468
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Bern 78 149
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 56 293
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 126 609
Volksentscheid Bayern 76 91
North Rhine-Westphalia 149 193
NRW - Kleine Parteien 41 87
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 37 75
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 44 65
Schleswig-Holstein 34 275

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
1 10
Thurgau state election, 2024 2 24
Schaffhausen state election, 2024 3 17
5 17
Aargau state election, 2024 7 19
7 28
10 12
Landtagswahl Südtirol 2018 6 23
Bavaria 10 132
Basel-City state election, 2024 6 19
Lower Saxony local elections, 2021 9 31
Salzburg local election, 2024 14 37
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 34
US-Senate elections 2018 14 30
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 (kleine Parteien) 15 37
Ralf Stegner 15 97
Brandenburg state election, 2024 16 44
Berlin state election, 2023 16 55
Greece 16 44
German European Parliament election, 2024 17 48
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 15 37
Vorarlberg state election, 2024 15 31
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 18 35
St. Gallen state election, 2024 18 21
Germany 18 139
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 19 31
Innsbruck local election, 2024 19 31
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 19 50
Federal Convention Germany 19 101
Lithuania 19 57
Peter Harry Carstensen 20 94
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
Landtagswahl Saarland 2017 (kleine Parteien) 16 38
Slovenia 22 66
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 23 76
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 36
Bayern 1 23 72
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2017 (kleine Parteien) 24 47
Irland 26 50
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 26 86
Germany 27 180
Steiermark state election, 2024 15 47
17 55
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 22 47
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 (kleine Parteien) 26 53
Salzburg 28 114
Dtl. - Überhangmandate 29 84
Landtagswahl Saarland 2017 30 56
Portugal 31 53
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 32 54
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 22 47
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 21 45
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Potsdam 2018 32 39
Austrian general election,2024 33 85
Gemeinderatswahlen Graz 2012 (kleine Parteien) 33 95
Niederösterreich 33 106
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 31 66
Schl.-Holst. - Überhang 34 38
Schleswig-Holstein 34 275
Nederland 35 70
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 24 53
Schweiz - SVP 36 96
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 35 55
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 37 75
Hungary 38 79
NRW - Kleine Parteien 41 87
South Tyrol 42 85
Australian Open 2009 (Women) 43 80
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2008 43 88
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 44 65
Israel - Ale Yarok 44 65
Spanien 44 68
Greece 45 77
Schleswig-Holstein 45 103
Berlin state election, 2021 46 60
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 43 71
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 47 143
USA - Senate 2008 49 97
Hesse - coalitions 49 257
North Rhine-Westphalia 52 104
BZÖ 52 102
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 52 122
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 52 71
Dtl. - Kl. Parteien (interner Markt) 54 113
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 56 293
Germany 56 74
Österreich - Kärnten 56 132
Israel 57 100
Hamburg - coalitions 58 121
Hessen - Neuwahlen 59 129
Italien - preferred 59 82
German general election, 2021 61 81
Schleswig-Holstein 61 214
Wolfgang Clement 62 88
Upper Austria 63 151
Österreich - Tirol 66 124
Iceland 67 92
Klubanzahl 68 142
Republican Candidate 69 166
Brandenburg 72 176
USA - House 73 89
Referendum Berlin 74 109
Saxony 75 146
Volksentscheid Bayern 76 91
KPÖ - BZÖ 76 129
Lower Saxony - coalitions 76 101
Bavaria 78 169
Thuringia 85 146
Tirol 85 397
FPÖ 86 171
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Bern 78 149
SPD-Kanzlerkandidat 88 156
Wahlbeteiligung 88 141
Hessen - Koalition 89 121
SPÖ 89 155
Drittstärkste Kraft 91 129
Saarland 93 163
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 94 179
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 100 468
BZÖ 100 168
Schleswig-Holstein 103 141
Hesse 105 245
ÖVP 107 171
USA - President 111 221
Stärkste Partei 112 198
Graz local election, 2013 113 144
Federal President Germany 115 251
Hamburg 118 179
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 126 609
GRÜNE 132 194
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 93 439
Dinkhauser 137 220
Germany 142 559
North Rhine-Westphalia 149 193
Österreich - SPÖ 188 505
Austria 226 725
USA Elections 2008 243 294
Hamburg 493 866
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

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