amos on political stock market

Registered since:
16.02.2008

Current posts from amos

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 93 439
Senate elections - Canton Glarus 22 91
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 32 457
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Basel-Stadt 60 144
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 79 211
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 93 1,499
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 24 293
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 485 609
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 12 48
Steiermark 42 98
Volksentscheid Bayern 67 91
NRW - Koalition 48 127
North Rhine-Westphalia 116 193
NRW - Kleine Parteien 22 87
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 40 75
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 37 65
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2010 36 69
Schleswig-Holstein 96 275
Car market AUT 41 62

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Czech Republic 7 65
Bayern 1 9 72
Latvia - Riga 10 42
Federal Convention Germany 11 101
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 12 48
Italy 16 74
CH - Volksabstimmung am 08.02.2009 18 78
Slovenia 18 66
Niederösterreich 19 106
Schl.-Holst. - SSW 20 67
Poland 21 66
Lithuania 21 57
Senate elections - Canton Glarus 22 91
NRW - Kleine Parteien 22 87
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 24 293
Car trends AUT 24 68
South Tyrol 25 85
Greece 26 77
USA - 538 27 71
Schweiz - SVP 28 96
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 28 71
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 32 457
United Kingdom 32 52
Ypsilanti 34 74
Schleswig-Holstein 35 214
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2010 36 69
Northern Ireland 36 40
Iceland 36 92
Salzburg 36 114
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 37 65
Vorarlberg 37 87
Spain 37 69
Hessen - Wahlbeteiligung 37 84
Drittstärkste Kraft 37 129
United Kingdom 38 79
Israel 38 100
Liechtenstein 38 48
Dtl. - Kl. Parteien (interner Markt) 39 113
Schl.-Holst. Wahlbeteiligung 39 58
Latvia 39 70
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 40 75
Car market AUT 41 62
Schleswig-Holstein 41 103
Steiermark 42 98
USA - Senate 2008 43 97
Gruppe D 43 76
Denmark 44 67
Gruppe C 44 80
Sweden 45 68
Kärnten 45 137
Aufsteiger 1. Bundesliga 47 70
Fußball: Dt. Meister 47 80
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 47 86
NRW - Koalition 48 127
Gruppe A 48 87
Referendum Berlin 49 109
Germany 50 74
USA - Florida 50 77
Österreich - Tirol 50 124
USA - House 51 89
USA -Ohio 51 75
Europameister 51 122
Italien - preferred 52 82
Bavaria 52 132
Germany 54 139
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 55 143
Hamburg - coalitions 55 121
Hessen - Drittstärkste Partei 56 134
Spanien 57 68
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2008 59 88
Wolfgang Clement 60 88
Gruppe B 60 92
Klubanzahl 62 142
Dtl. - Wahlbeteiligung 63 126
Hessen - Neuwahlen 64 129
Volksentscheid Bayern 67 91
Germany 70 226
Hessen - Koalition 70 121
Bavaria 75 169
Upper Austria 76 151
FPÖ 77 171
KPÖ - BZÖ 77 129
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 79 211
SPD-Kanzlerkandidat 79 156
Germany 80 180
SPÖ 80 155
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Basel-Stadt 60 144
BZÖ 86 168
Österreich - Kärnten 87 132
Hesse - coalitions 89 257
Bundeskanzler 91 220
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 93 1,499
Schleswig-Holstein 96 275
Hessen - Die Linke 98 130
Wahlbeteiligung 99 141
Stärkste Partei 99 198
1. Bundesliga 101 170
Hesse 101 245
Tirol 101 397
Hamburg 103 179
Brandenburg 106 176
Dinkhauser 114 220
North Rhine-Westphalia 116 193
Schleswig-Holstein 120 141
ÖVP 122 171
USA - President 126 221
GRÜNE 133 194
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 93 439
LIF 157 234
Österreich - SPÖ 180 505
Germany 185 559
Austria 361 725
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 485 609
Hamburg 743 866
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

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This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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