carokann on political stock market

Registered since:
09.10.2007
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Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 47 71
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2017 (Mandate) 6 21
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2017 18 42
Greek referendum, 2015 18 35
SPD-Mitgliedervotum 2013 24 44
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 - Koalitionsmarkt 36 60
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 - Drittstärkste Kraft 7 37
German federal election, 2013 (all other parties) 11 122
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 (privater Markt) 21 30
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 (kleine Parteien) 49 112
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2013 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 36 55
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 30 127
Dutch parliamentary election 2012 17 33
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2012/2013 52 67
Olympia 2012 - Hockey - Damen 1 21
Olympia 2012 - Goldmedaillen 21 32
US presidential election, 2012 48 80
Euro 2012 - Gruppe D 33 55
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 34 57
Greek parliamentary election 2012 27 54
New York Republican Primary 2012 9 25
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 6 133
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 61 155
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 74 468
Florida Republican Primary 2012 12 34
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 49 117
Kanton Basel-Stadt - Volksinitiative Nichtraucherschutz 2011 8 24
Volksentscheid zum S-21 Kündigungsgesetz 21 41
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 52 62
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Koalitionen 7 52
Parliamentary election Denmark 2011 18 35
2. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 14 45
Federal election Berlin 2011 - small parties 15 64
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 36 80
Wimbledon 2011 - Gentlemen's Singles 10 22
Entscheidung der Grünen zum Atomausstieg 12 26
Parlamentswahlen Türkei 6 33
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 2 31
French Open 2011 - Women Singles 1 29
United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum, 2011 13 29
Parlamentswahlen Portugal 2011 13 33
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2011 - Kleine Parteien 35 76
Scottish Parliament election, 2011 13 29
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 47 119
Kommunalwahlen Hessen 2011 27 50
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2011 - Kleine Parteien 21 51
Oscars 2011: Bester fremdsprachiger Film 2 18
Oscars 2011: Bester Hauptdarsteller 2 19
Parlamentswahlen Irland 2011 12 30
Australian Open Women Singles 2011 8 27
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 24 121
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 36 132
CH - Volksabstimmung am 29.11.2010 13 24
United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010 7 18
Kongresswahlen (vote share) 12 35
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2010/2011 6 93
NRW - MP-Wahl 18 42
Volksentscheid Bayern 45 91
Weltmeistermarkt 2010 24 97
Wimbledon Championships (Women) 1 36
NRW - Ministerpräsident 34 62
North Rhine-Westphalia (closed market) 1 39
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2010 16 69
USA - Republican primaries 2010 2 25

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Olympia 2012 - Hockey - Damen 1 21
Parliamentary election Poland 2011 1 27
Fussball-WM der Frauen 2011 1 52
French Open 2011 - Women Singles 1 29
French Open 2011 - Men Singles 1 28
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 - Gewinner 1 29
Oscars 2011: Beste Hauptdarstellerin 1 17
neue Senatszusammensetzung 1 34
Sweden 1 68
NRW - Koalition 1 127
Polen 1 57
Wimbledon Championships (Women) 1 36
North Rhine-Westphalia (closed market) 1 39
USA - NYC 1 33
Dtl. - Koalition 1 252
24 - 7th Season I 1 85
Spain 1 69
French Open 2009 (Women) 1 48
Oscar 09: Best Picture 1 59
Nachfolger Guttenberg 2 20
Oscars 2011: Bester Hauptdarsteller 2 19
GER - AUS 2 55
USA - Republican primaries 2010 2 25
Australian Open (Women) 2 55
CDU-Vorsitzender 3 43
SPD-Vorsitzender 3 124
Hesse 3 245
ITA - PAR 4 43
Schleswig-Holstein 4 214
Italy 4 74
France 4 71
Opel 5 123
Australian Open (Men) 5 54
Wimbledon Championships 2009 (Women) 5 56
Czech Republic 5 65
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2017 (Mandate) 6 21
Parlamentswahlen Türkei 6 33
ITA - NZL 6 39
United Kingdom 6 79
EU-Außenminister 6 30
Bavaria 6 169
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Koalitionen 7 52
SVK - ITA 7 31
French Open (Men) 7 43
Thüringen - MP 7 103
French Open 2009 (Men) 7 53
Australian Open Women Singles 2011 8 27
RSA - URU 8 32
Oscar 10: Best supporting role 8 33
Brandenburg - Stärkste Partei 8 78
Denmark 8 67
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2012 9 34
United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010 7 18
URU - KOR 9 37
CMR - DEN 9 37
Vancouver 2010 - Eishockey 9 64
Wolfgang Clement 9 88
New York Republican Primary 2012 9 25
BRA - CIV 10 41
Car trends AUT 10 68
German federal election, 2013 (all other parties) 11 122
Northern Ireland Parliament election, 2011 9 24
USA - GHA 11 37
SUI - HON 12 26
Oscar 09: Foreign Language Film 12 32
Oscar 09: Actor in a Leading Role 12 57
Bayern - Ministerpräsident 12 68
Florida Republican Primary 2012 12 34
United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum, 2011 13 29
DEN - JPN 13 38
Thüringen - Koalition 13 103
2. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 14 45
Parlamentswahlen Portugal 2011 13 33
Parlamentswahlen Irland 2011 12 30
GRE - ARG 14 39
FRA - MEX 14 37
Vancouver 2010 - Goldmedaillen 14 69
Germany (closed market) 14 30
Oscar 09: Foreign Language Film 14 60
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2012 (Expertenmarkt) 14 25
Parlamentswahlen Finnland 2011 13 30
GRE - NGA 15 35
Australian Open 2009 (Women) 15 80
USA - 538 15 71
Presidential primary of the French Socialist Party 2011 13 32
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Einzug der Piratenpartei 16 45
Kongresswahlen (vote share) 12 35
CHI - ESP 16 33
GER - SRB 16 35
Ski Alpin - Herren 16 47
Gruppe B 16 92
SVN - USA 17 39
NED - DEN 17 38
United Kingdom - PM 17 58
Parliamentary election Latvia 2011 15 36
NRW - MP-Wahl 18 42
Gruppe B 18 75
GHA - AUS 18 36
Europameister 1 18 72
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2011 - Ergebnis der Grünen 19 34
1. Bundesliga 19 170
UEFA Europe League Gr. F 19 39
Greek referendum, 2015 18 35
NED - SVK 20 37
USA - Massachusetts 20 50
Dtl. - Ministermarkt 20 94
Gruppe A 20 87
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 (privater Markt) 21 30
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 21 85
CHI - SUI 21 34
Euro 2012 - Gruppe A 19 51
Afrikanische Mannschaften 22 58
Thüringen - Kleine Parteien 22 48
NED - BRA 23 49
Champions League 2010 23 72
Gruppe C 23 80
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 24 189
URU - GER 24 51
Vancouver 2010 - Curling D 24 48
Germany 24 180
Parliamentary election Spain 2011 23 37
ARG - MEX 26 41
Saxony 26 146
NRW - Kleine Parteien 27 87
Bundespräsident 28 103
Schl.-Holst. - Koalition 28 166
Dieter Althaus 28 78
URU - GHA 29 47
Fußball: Dt. Meister 29 80
EM-Spielemarkt 29 81
German soccer champion 2009 30 108
Champions League Gr. G 31 58
2. Bundesliga Deutschland 2012/2013 32 44
Germany 32 226
Gruppe A 33 66
NRW - Ministerpräsident 34 62
Gruppe D 35 72
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2013 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 36 55
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 34 57
Öst. - BP-Wahlbeteiligung 36 75
French presidential election 2012 30 71
Champions League Gr. A 38 65
Brandenburg - Koalition 39 94
Poland 42 66
United Kingdom 43 79
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 36 80
Hesse - coalitions 46 257
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 47 179
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 49 117
USA - President 51 221
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 52 62
Federal President Germany 54 251
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 47 119
Schleswig-Holstein 56 275
Greece 60 77
Austria 62 725
Latvia 63 70
North Rhine-Westphalia 66 104
Österreich - Neuwahlen 68 132
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 74 468
Federal Convention Germany 78 101
Saarland 79 163
Bavaria 100 132
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 93 439
Democratic Candidate 187 310
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
Your Feedback?

Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com