ernst_h on political stock market

Registered since:
17.07.2008

Current posts from ernst_h

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 49 117
Slovakian parlamentary election 2012 29 31
Slovenian parlamentary election 2011 17 22
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Einzug der Piratenpartei 43 45
US Open 2011 - Women's Single 11 15
US Open 2011 - Men's Single 2 16
Swiss parliamentary elections 2011 - Voter turnout 14 261
Parliamentary election Spain 2011 6 37
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Koalitionen 47 52
Parliamentary election Latvia 2011 27 36
Swiss House of Representatives election 2011 - big parties 42 43
Parliamentary election Denmark 2011 31 35
Parliamentary election Poland 2011 21 27
Regional election Niedersachsen 2011 37 39
1. Bundesliga Österreich 2011/2012 17 23
Federal election Berlin 2011 - small parties 64 64
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 - small parties 42 47
Federal election Berlin 2011 55 96
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 73 80
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 23 609
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 76 85
Wimbledon 2011 - Gentlemen's Singles 20 22
Wimbledon 2011 - Ladies' Singles 24 24
Entscheidung der Grünen zum Atomausstieg 8 26
Fussball-WM der Frauen 2011 51 52
Parlamentswahlen Türkei 22 33
New York's 26th congressional district special election, 2011 13 19
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen - Ergebnis der B+B 9 28
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 - Gewinner 2 29
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 30 31
French Open 2011 - Men Singles 4 28
French Open 2011 - Women Singles 29 29
National Assembly for Wales election, 2011 22 24
United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum, 2011 26 29
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2011 3 60
Parlamentswahlen Portugal 2011 3 33
Parlamentswahlen Finnland 2011 19 30
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2011 - Kleine Parteien 9 76
Northern Ireland Parliament election, 2011 23 24
Scottish Parliament election, 2011 11 29
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 - Ergebnis der Grünen 17 33
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 - Ergebnis der Grünen 14 25
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 6 119
Kommunalwahlen Hessen 2011 43 50
Oscars 2011: Bester fremdsprachiger Film 15 18
Oscars 2011: Beste Hauptdarstellerin 10 17
Oscars 2011: Bester Hauptdarsteller 18 19
Oscars 2011: Bester Film 4 21
Parlamentswahlen Irland 2011 25 30
Australian Open Men Singles 2011 24 31
Australian Open Women Singles 2011 7 27
Abtritt Westerwelle 48 83
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 111 121
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2011 17 118
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 18 132
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 32 189
CH - Volksabstimmung am 29.11.2010 7 24
United States Senate election in Alaska, 2010 20 23
Fußball-Europameisterschaft 2012 / Qualifikation Gruppe A 40 57
United States Senate election in Florida, 2010 2 24
United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010 3 18
neue Senatszusammensetzung 27 34
Kongresswahlen (vote share) 28 35
Wien - Kleine Parteien 8 48
Steiermark 33 98
Wien 14 193
tipp3 Bundesliga 39 56
Sweden 12 68
Volksentscheid Hamburg 42 54
NRW - MP-Wahl 37 42
Bundespräsident 20 103
Volksentscheid Bayern 50 91
Fußball: WM 2010 30 103
Wimbledon Championships (Men) 14 35
Wimbledon Championships (Women) 30 36
Car market AUT 4 62
Latvia 31 34

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Petition for a referendum Berlin 1 87
KPÖ - BZÖ 1 129
US Open 2011 - Men's Single 2 16
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 - Gewinner 2 29
United States Senate election in Florida, 2010 2 24
Österreich - Koalitionen 2 113
Große Koalition 2 163
Wahlbeteiligung 2 141
Parlamentswahlen Portugal 2011 3 33
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2011 3 60
United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010 3 18
DEN - JPN 3 38
Gruppe E 3 71
USA -Ohio 3 75
French Open 2011 - Men Singles 4 28
Oscars 2011: Bester Film 4 21
Oberösterreich - Koalition 4 50
Car market AUT 4 62
Parliamentary election Spain 2011 6 37
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 6 119
Greece 6 77
Portugal 6 53
Australian Open Women Singles 2011 7 27
CH - Volksabstimmung am 29.11.2010 7 24
Thuringia 7 146
Poland 7 66
Referendum Berlin 7 109
Entscheidung der Grünen zum Atomausstieg 8 26
Wien - Kleine Parteien 8 48
Schl.-Holst. - MP 8 88
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen - Ergebnis der B+B 9 28
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2011 - Kleine Parteien 9 76
French Open 2009 (Men) 9 53
Salzburg 9 114
Oscars 2011: Beste Hauptdarstellerin 10 17
Brandenburg 10 176
US Open 2011 - Women's Single 11 15
Scottish Parliament election, 2011 11 29
Sweden 12 68
Wimbledon Championships 2009 (Men) 12 64
Germany 12 180
New York's 26th congressional district special election, 2011 13 19
Klubanzahl 13 142
Swiss parliamentary elections 2011 - Voter turnout 14 261
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 - Ergebnis der Grünen 14 25
Wien 14 193
Wimbledon Championships (Men) 14 35
Saxony 14 146
Bundeskanzler 14 220
Oscars 2011: Bester fremdsprachiger Film 15 18
1. Bundesliga 15 170
Latvia 15 70
GRÜNE 15 194
BZÖ-GRÜNE 15 57
1. Bundesliga Österreich 2011/2012 17 23
Slovenian parlamentary election 2011 17 22
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 - Ergebnis der Grünen 17 33
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2011 17 118
Oscars 2011: Bester Hauptdarsteller 18 19
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 18 132
FPÖ 18 171
Parlamentswahlen Finnland 2011 19 30
Gruppe D 19 72
Hungary 19 79
Wimbledon 2011 - Gentlemen's Singles 20 22
United States Senate election in Alaska, 2010 20 23
Bundespräsident 20 103
Gruppe B 20 75
Parliamentary election Poland 2011 21 27
Gruppe C 21 68
Parlamentswahlen Türkei 22 33
National Assembly for Wales election, 2011 22 24
Spain 22 69
Stärkste Partei 22 198
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 23 609
Northern Ireland Parliament election, 2011 23 24
Upper Austria 23 151
Hessen - Koalition 23 121
Wimbledon 2011 - Ladies' Singles 24 24
Australian Open Men Singles 2011 24 31
Konjunkturpaket 24 80
Parlamentswahlen Irland 2011 25 30
USA - Florida 25 77
United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum, 2011 26 29
Opel 26 123
Parliamentary election Latvia 2011 27 36
neue Senatszusammensetzung 27 34
Hessen - Die Linke 27 130
Neue Regierung 27 96
LIF 27 234
Kongresswahlen (vote share) 28 35
Slovakian parlamentary election 2012 29 31
French Open 2011 - Women Singles 29 29
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 30 31
Fußball: WM 2010 30 103
Wimbledon Championships (Women) 30 36
Dinkhauser 30 220
Parliamentary election Denmark 2011 31 35
Latvia 31 34
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 32 189
Hesse 32 245
Steiermark 33 98
North Rhine-Westphalia 34 104
Regional election Niedersachsen 2011 37 39
NRW - MP-Wahl 37 42
Gruppe F 38 66
tipp3 Bundesliga 39 56
Austria 39 144
French Open 2009 (Women) 39 48
Fußball-Europameisterschaft 2012 / Qualifikation Gruppe A 40 57
Afrikanische Mannschaften 40 58
Fussball: U21-EM 41 50
Swiss House of Representatives election 2011 - big parties 42 43
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 - small parties 42 47
Volksentscheid Hamburg 42 54
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Einzug der Piratenpartei 43 45
Kommunalwahlen Hessen 2011 43 50
USA - House 43 89
ÖVP 43 171
USA - Senate 2008 44 97
ÖVP-GRÜNE 45 51
Finland 46 53
US-House election 2009 46 47
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Koalitionen 47 52
Abtritt Westerwelle 48 83
Belgium 48 49
Slovenia 48 50
Luxembourg 48 50
Volksentscheid Bayern 50 91
Ireland 50 66
Fussball-WM der Frauen 2011 51 52
Gruppe G 51 63
Österreich - Wahlkarten 51 67
Israel - Ale Yarok 52 65
Gruppe A 53 66
Wimbledon Championships 2009 (Women) 54 56
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 49 117
Federal election Berlin 2011 55 96
France 56 71
Car trends AUT 58 68
Dieter Althaus 59 78
Sweden 62 68
USA - 538 62 71
Gruppe H 63 63
Federal election Berlin 2011 - small parties 64 64
Czech Republic 64 65
Italy 65 74
Nederland 67 70
Denmark 67 67
Österreich - Kärnten 67 132
Hessen - Wahlbeteiligung 68 84
Österreich - Tirol 70 124
United Kingdom 72 79
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 73 80
European Parliament 73 85
Vorarlberg 74 87
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 76 85
Dtl. - Koalition 83 252
Hessen - Neuwahlen 87 129
BZÖ 90 168
USA - President 91 221
Schl.-Holst. - Koalition 109 166
Saarland 110 163
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 111 121
Hessen - Drittstärkste Partei 122 134
Kärnten 126 137
SPÖ 127 155
Dtl. - Bundeskanzler 133 213
Schleswig-Holstein 163 214
USA Elections 2008 208 294
Germany 247 559
Austria 665 725
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

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This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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