ronnieos on political stock market

Registered since:
19.09.2007

Current posts from ronnieos

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 14 76
German general election 2024 in Berlin (repeat election) 4 35
Bavarian state election, 2023 52 57
Hessen state election, 2023 49 50
Hessen state election, 2023 24 24
Bavarian state election, 2023 2 29
3 17
Spanish general election, 2023 2 15
East-Berlin state election, 2023 2 26
Berlin state election, 2023 4 55
Berlin state election, 2023 21 23
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 5 42
3 17
6 19
13 17
5 22
Dresden mayoral election, 2022 1 34
French legislative election, 2022 2 33
Australian federal election, 2022 1 24
21 21
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 3 47
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 3 50
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 21 22
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 1 24
Hungarian parliamentary election, 2022 6 24
French presidential election, 2022 1 54
Magdeburg mayoral election, 2022 1 24
Saarland state election, 2022 2 46
Saarland state election, 2022 2 30
Czech legislative election, 2021 1 12
1 18
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 2 36
Graz local election, 2021 1 35
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 37 41
German general election, 2021 (special market) 1 26
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 4 42
Icelandic parliamentary election, 2021 18 18
Norwegian parliamentary election, 2021 1 20
German general election, 2021 11 81
Berlin state election, 2021 2 60
Berlin state election, 2021 1 27
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 2 54
8 55
German federal election, 2021 5 44
Koalitionsmarkt Niedersachsen 2013 37 41
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 4 127
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 53 59
US Presidential election, 2012 (electoral votes - swing states) 35 37
US Presidential election, 2012 - 538 market 6 47
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2012/2013 2 67
2. Bundesliga Deutschland 2012/2013 43 44
1. Bundesliga Österreich 2012/2013 13 38
Exits from the Euro-zone 49 116
US Senate election, 2012 6 35
US presidential election, 2012 18 80
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 51 54
Euro 2012 - Gruppe D 54 55
Euro 2012 - Gruppe C 51 52
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 2 57
Euro 2012 - Gruppe A 15 51
Greek parliamentary election 2012 7 54
Landtagswahl in NRW 2012 - Drittstäkste Kraft 4 37
Landtagswahl in NRW 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke 5 40
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Koalitionsmarkt 12 107
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 5 133
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 6 108
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 20 155
French presidential election 2012 22 71
Deutscher Meister 2012 40 50
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 11 468
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 6 200
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 39 89
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 (kleine Parteien) 15 56
Australian Open 2012 - Women's Single 13 21
Florida Republican Primary 2012 3 34
South Carolina Republican Primary 2012 3 33
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 23 117
FDP - Mitgliederentscheid zum Euro-Rettungsschirm 6 27
Iowa Republican Caucus 2012 2 27
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2012 4 34
Volksentscheid zum S-21 Kündigungsgesetz 4 41
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 2 62
Parliamentary election Spain 2011 5 37
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Koalitionen 46 52
2. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 1 45
Federal election Berlin 2011 - small parties 41 64
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 - small parties 9 47
Federal election Berlin 2011 12 96
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 68 80
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 15 85
Fussball-WM der Frauen 2011 24 52
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 10 31
French Open 2011 - Men Singles 6 28
French Open 2011 - Women Singles 9 29
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2011 55 60
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 - Ergebnis der SPD 4 25
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 - Ergebnis der Grünen 7 33
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 85 119
Nachfolger Guttenberg 3 20
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 2011 - Kleine Parteien 1 42
Abtritt Westerwelle 11 83
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 21 121
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2011 7 118
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 4 132
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 6 189
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2010/2011 30 93
Bundespräsident 1 103
Volksentscheid Bayern 2 91
Fußball: WM 2010 81 103
Weltmeistermarkt 2010 5 97
NRW - Koalition 17 127
NRW - Ministerpräsident 46 62
North Rhine-Westphalia 74 193
North Rhine-Westphalia (closed market) 2 39
NRW - Kleine Parteien 3 87
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 56 75
Belgium 1 28
Nederland 18 54
Polen 9 57
Schleswig-Holstein 15 275

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Czech legislative election, 2021 1 12
Berlin state election, 2021 1 27
Dresden mayoral election, 2022 1 34
Australian federal election, 2022 1 24
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 1 24
Magdeburg mayoral election, 2022 1 24
French presidential election, 2022 1 54
1 18
Graz local election, 2021 1 35
German general election, 2021 (special market) 1 26
Norwegian parliamentary election, 2021 1 20
2. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 1 45
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 2011 - Kleine Parteien 1 42
Bundespräsident 1 103
Belgium 1 28
GRE - NGA 1 35
United Kingdom 1 52
2. Bundesliga 1 103
Dtl. - Piraten - Rechte 1 113
Norway 1 42
North Rhine-Westphalia 1 104
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 1 143
USA - House 1 89
South Tyrol 1 85
Bayern-Koalitionen 1 73
Österreich - Tirol 1 124
Österreich - Wahlkarten 1 67
Italy 1 59
Australian Open 2008 (Men) 1 60
Bavarian state election, 2023 2 29
Spanish general election, 2023 2 15
East-Berlin state election, 2023 2 26
Berlin state election, 2021 2 60
French legislative election, 2022 2 33
Saarland state election, 2022 2 30
Saarland state election, 2022 2 46
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 2 36
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 2 54
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2012/2013 2 67
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 2 57
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 2 62
Iowa Republican Caucus 2012 2 27
Volksentscheid Bayern 2 91
GER - SRB 2 35
FRA - MEX 2 37
North Rhine-Westphalia (closed market) 2 39
Northern Ireland 2 40
UEFA Europe League Gr. C 2 50
Wolfgang Clement 2 88
Ypsilanti 2 74
Österreich (intern) 2 63
Bavaria 2 169
Bayern 1 2 72
Bavaria 2 51
Hamburg 2 179
Hesse 2 319
3 17
3 17
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 3 50
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 3 47
Florida Republican Primary 2012 3 34
South Carolina Republican Primary 2012 3 33
Nachfolger Guttenberg 3 20
CMR - DEN 3 37
NRW - Kleine Parteien 3 87
Curling - WM Damen 3 22
Vancouver 2010 - Goldmedaillen 3 69
USA - Massachusetts 3 50
Saarland - Koalition 3 121
Saarland - MP 3 100
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 3 86
Republican Primaries 3 80
Danmark 3 53
German general election 2024 in Berlin (repeat election) 4 35
Berlin state election, 2023 4 55
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 4 42
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 4 127
Landtagswahl in NRW 2012 - Drittstäkste Kraft 4 37
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2012 4 34
Volksentscheid zum S-21 Kündigungsgesetz 4 41
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 - Ergebnis der SPD 4 25
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 4 132
Gruppe F 4 66
Eishockey WM 2010 4 61
Oscar 2010: Best Picture 4 40
Vancouver 2010 - Eishockey 4 64
Dtl. - Kl. Parteien (interner Markt) 4 113
Thüringen - Kleine Parteien 4 48
USA - 538 4 71
ÖVP-GRÜNE 4 51
GRÜNE 4 194
Tirol - Koalition 4 66
Australian Open 2008 (Women) 4 47
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 5 42
German federal election, 2021 5 44
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 5 133
Landtagswahl in NRW 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke 5 40
Parliamentary election Spain 2011 5 37
Weltmeistermarkt 2010 5 97
ITA - NZL 5 39
United Kingdom 5 55
1. Bundesliga 5 170
Oscar 10: Best supporting role 5 33
Democratic Primaries 5 132
Spanien 5 68
US Presidential election, 2012 - 538 market 6 47
US Senate election, 2012 6 35
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 6 108
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 6 200
FDP - Mitgliederentscheid zum Euro-Rettungsschirm 6 27
French Open 2011 - Men Singles 6 28
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 6 189
Gruppe B 6 75
tipp3 Bundesliga 6 52
Germany (closed market) 6 30
BZÖ-GRÜNE 6 57
Schleswig-Holstein 6 103
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 6 122
Hamburg - coalitions 6 121
Australia - preferred 6 38
Greek parliamentary election 2012 7 54
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 - Ergebnis der Grünen 7 33
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2011 7 118
ITA - PAR 7 43
UEFA Europe League Gr. L 7 48
USA Elections 2008 7 294
Lower Saxony 7 154
8 55
Fußball: Dt. Meister 8 80
Champions League Gr. A 8 65
Schl.-Holst. - SSW 8 67
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 - small parties 9 47
French Open 2011 - Women Singles 9 29
Polen 9 57
Gruppe E 9 71
French Open (Women) 9 40
Germany 9 139
Europameister 1 9 72
EM-Spielemarkt 9 81
Bavaria 9 132
Schleswig-Holstein 10 214
Brandenburg - Stärkste Partei 10 78
Europameister 10 122
Italien - preferred 10 82
Herbstmeister 10 60
German general election, 2021 11 81
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 11 468
Abtritt Westerwelle 11 83
Eurovision Song Contest 2011 10 31
GHA - AUS 11 36
Australian Open (Women) 11 55
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Koalitionsmarkt 12 107
Federal election Berlin 2011 12 96
United Kingdom - PM 12 58
Oscar 09: Actor in a Leading Role 12 33
SPD-Vorsitzender 12 62
6 19
13 17
Dtl. - Überhangmandate 13 84
Wahltagsmarkt 13 16
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 14 76
Australian Open 2012 - Women's Single 13 21
GER - ESP 14 48
UEFA Europe League Gr. G 14 49
Germany 14 226
Schl.-Holst. - Freie Wähler 14 90
Gruppe C 14 80
South Tyrol 14 43
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 15 85
Euro 2012 - Gruppe A 15 51
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 (kleine Parteien) 15 56
NED - JPN 15 38
SVN - USA 15 39
Öst. - BP-Wahlbeteiligung 15 75
Dtl. - Ministermarkt 15 94
Schleswig-Holstein 15 275
Austria 15 725
5 22
Hungarian parliamentary election, 2022 6 24
Gruppe A 16 66
Saxony 16 146
Saarland 16 163
USA - President 16 221
Slovenia 16 66
NRW - Koalition 17 127
US Open (Women) 17 49
Österreich - Kärnten 17 132
Gruppe D 17 76
Icelandic parliamentary election, 2021 18 18
1. Bundesliga Österreich 2012/2013 13 38
US presidential election, 2012 18 80
Nederland 18 54
Czech Republic 18 67
Oscar 09: Foreign Language Film 19 32
Landtagswahlen Schleswig-Holstein 2012 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 20 155
USA - Senate 2008 20 97
Berlin state election, 2023 21 23
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 21 22
21 21
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 21 121
German soccer champion 2009 21 108
French presidential election 2012 22 71
Burgenland 22 75
Great Britain (closed market) 22 28
United Kingdom 22 79
Brandenburg 22 176
Schl.-Holst. Wahlbeteiligung 22 58
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 23 117
Hessen state election, 2023 24 24
Fussball-WM der Frauen 2011 24 52
GRE - ARG 25 39
SVN - ENG 25 35
Irland 25 50
Schleswig-Holstein (closed market) 25 31
Gruppe D 26 72
Dtl. - Wahlbeteiligung 26 126
Germany 26 74
Wahlbeteiligung 26 141
Gruppe H 27 63
Ski Alpin - Herren 27 47
Hessen - Neuwahlen 27 129
Österreich - Wien (intern) 27 43
FPÖ 27 171
Gruppe A 27 87
Tennis: Zürich Open 27 31
Champions League 2010 28 72
Germany 28 559
PAR - ESP 29 51
EU-Außenminister 29 30
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2010/2011 30 93
RSA - URU 30 32
Beste Schauspielerin 30 31
Ukraine 30 60
Dieter Althaus 30 78
HON - CHI 32 40
Lower Saxony - coalitions 33 101
Australia 33 45
FC St. Pauli 33 35
US Presidential election, 2012 (electoral votes - swing states) 35 37
Vorarlberg 35 87
Austria 35 144
BRA - CIV 36 41
EU-Ratspräsident 36 39
Eintracht Frankfurt 36 42
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 37 41
Koalitionsmarkt Niedersachsen 2013 37 41
NED - DEN 37 38
Vancouver 2010 - Curling D 37 48
Dinkhauser 37 220
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 39 89
Denmark 39 67
Deutscher Meister 2012 40 50
Schleswig-Holstein 40 141
Federal election Berlin 2011 - small parties 41 64
ESP - SUI 41 47
SVK - PAR 42 48
Champions League Gr. G 42 58
SPÖ 42 155
2. Bundesliga Deutschland 2012/2013 43 44
Tirol 44 397
Österreich - Bundespräsident 45 112
Vancouver 2010 - Curling H 45 48
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Koalitionen 46 52
NRW - Ministerpräsident 46 62
Thüringen - Koalition 46 103
Australian Open (Men) 47 54
Champions League Gr. B 48 57
Hessen state election, 2023 49 50
Exits from the Euro-zone 49 116
Bayern - Ministerpräsident 49 68
Dtl. - Koalition 50 252
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 51 54
Euro 2012 - Gruppe C 51 52
Bavarian state election, 2023 52 57
USA - Florida 52 77
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 53 59
Afrikanische Mannschaften 53 58
GER - AUS 53 55
Euro 2012 - Gruppe D 54 55
Bundeskanzler 54 220
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2011 55 60
USA -Ohio 55 75
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 56 75
SPD-Vorsitzender 56 124
Dtl. - Drittstärkste Partei 57 124
Gruppe G 59 63
Österreich - Neuwahlen 63 132
Gruppe C 64 68
BZÖ 64 168
Österreich - SPÖ 65 505
Aufsteiger 1. Bundesliga 67 70
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 68 80
Graz 70 99
Gruppe B 72 92
North Rhine-Westphalia 74 193
ÖVP 77 171
Democratic Candidate 78 310
Die Linke 79 79
Fußball: WM 2010 81 103
Neue Regierung 81 96
Klubanzahl 82 142
BZÖ 82 102
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 85 119
Federal President Germany 85 251
Federal Convention Germany 86 101
Fußball: Herbstmeister 89 96
Niederösterreich 95 106
Österreich - Koalitionen 97 113
SPD-Kanzlerkandidat 98 156
van Staa 99 122
Thuringia 101 146
Thüringen - MP 102 103
Germany 108 180
LIF 119 234
Drittstärkste Kraft 128 129
Große Koalition 129 163
Hesse - coalitions 132 257
Republican Candidate 148 166
Stärkste Partei 154 198
Schl.-Holst. - Koalition 164 166
Hamburg 584 866
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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