tomberli on political stock market

Registered since:
15.09.2010
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Current posts from tomberli

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 32 36
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 11 51
Swiss Cabinet election 2015 (Replacement Widmer-Schlumpf) 1 20
Bundesratserneuerungswahl 2015 (Ersatzwahl Widmer-Schlumpf) 6 25
Swiss Cabinet election 2015 3 27
Candidates SPP for the Cabinet 2015 34 34
Swiss Senate elections 2015 1 95
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Glarus 31 31
Senate elections - Canton Basel-Stadt 2015 2 30
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Schaffhausen 5 32
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton St. Gallen 3 34
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Thurgau 18 36
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Schwyz 10 36
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Graubunden 2 34
Senate elections - Canton Neuchâtel 2015 6 25
Senate elections - Canton Ticino 2015 1 32
Senate elections - Canton Obwalden 2015 26 39
Senate elections - Canton Nidwalden 2015 9 28
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2015 9 35
Senate elections - Canton Vaud 2015 19 53
Senate elections - Canton Luzern 2015 14 52
Senate elections - Canton Basel-Landschaft 2015 3 36
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2015 60 62
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2015 3 30
Senate elections - Canton St. Gallen 2015 4 45
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2015 8 47
Senate elections - Canton Valais 2015 1 31
Senate elections - Canton Fribourg 2015 3 33
Senate elections - Canton Zug 2015 11 32
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Aargau 15 59
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Basel-Stadt 9 47
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Freiburg 29 43
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Valais 6 39
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Jura 13 36
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – smallest parties 2 71
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – small parties 1 143
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – big parties 105 363
Unabhängigkeitsreferendum Schottland 2014 19 47
Candidates SPP for the Cabinet 2011 4 78
Senate elections - Canton Schwyz 3 63
Candidates SPP for the Cabinet 2011 21 83
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 39 222
Senate elections - Canton Bern 6 252
Senate elections - Canton Glarus 69 91
Senate elections - Canton Lucerne 66 116
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 92 120
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 115 179
Senate elections in Canton St. Gallen 26 345
Senate elections in Ticino 23 105
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 123 131
Senate elections - Canton Uri 16 119
Senate elections - Canton Vaud 71 86
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 53 260
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 8 457
Swiss Parliamentary election in Aargau 34 82
Swiss Senate election 2011 - Canton Appenzell Ausserrhoden 65 134
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Basel-Landschaft 37 72
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Basel-Stadt 56 144
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Bern 63 149
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Fribourg 89 113
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Geneva 50 88
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 32 211
Swiss Parliamentary election in Neuchâtel 34 58
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Ticino 44 112
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Vaud 45 99
Swiss Parliamentary election in Zurich 52 143
Swiss parliamentary elections 2011 - Voter turnout 45 261
Swiss Cabinet election 2011 368 426
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 28 1,499
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 59 293
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 13 609

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Swiss Cabinet election 2015 (Replacement Widmer-Schlumpf) 1 20
Swiss Senate elections 2015 1 95
Senate elections - Canton Ticino 2015 1 32
Senate elections - Canton Valais 2015 1 31
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – small parties 1 143
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – smallest parties 2 71
Senate elections - Canton Basel-Stadt 2015 2 30
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Graubunden 2 34
Swiss Cabinet election 2015 3 27
Senate elections - Canton Fribourg 2015 3 33
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton St. Gallen 3 34
Senate elections - Canton Basel-Landschaft 2015 3 36
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2015 3 30
Senate elections - Canton Schwyz 3 63
Senate elections - Canton St. Gallen 2015 4 45
Candidates SPP for the Cabinet 2011 4 78
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Schaffhausen 5 32
Bundesratserneuerungswahl 2015 (Ersatzwahl Widmer-Schlumpf) 6 25
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Valais 6 39
Senate elections - Canton Bern 6 252
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2015 8 47
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 8 457
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Basel-Stadt 9 47
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2015 9 35
Senate elections - Canton Nidwalden 2015 9 28
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Schwyz 10 36
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 11 51
Senate elections - Canton Neuchâtel 2015 6 25
Senate elections - Canton Zug 2015 11 32
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 13 609
Senate elections - Canton Luzern 2015 14 52
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Aargau 15 59
Senate elections - Canton Uri 16 119
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Jura 13 36
Senate elections - Canton Vaud 2015 19 53
Unabhängigkeitsreferendum Schottland 2014 19 47
Candidates SPP for the Cabinet 2011 21 83
Senate elections in Ticino 23 105
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Thurgau 18 36
Senate elections - Canton Obwalden 2015 26 39
Senate elections in Canton St. Gallen 26 345
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 28 1,499
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Freiburg 29 43
Swiss House of Representatives 2015 - Canton Glarus 31 31
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 32 36
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 32 211
Candidates SPP for the Cabinet 2015 34 34
Swiss Parliamentary election in Aargau 34 82
Swiss Parliamentary election in Neuchâtel 34 58
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 39 222
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Basel-Landschaft 37 72
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Vaud 45 99
Swiss parliamentary elections 2011 - Voter turnout 45 261
Swiss Parliamentary election in Zurich 52 143
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 53 260
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Geneva 50 88
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Ticino 44 112
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Basel-Stadt 56 144
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 59 293
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2015 60 62
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Bern 63 149
Senate elections - Canton Lucerne 66 116
Senate elections - Canton Glarus 69 91
Senate elections - Canton Vaud 71 86
Swiss Senate election 2011 - Canton Appenzell Ausserrhoden 65 134
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Fribourg 89 113
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 92 120
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – big parties 105 363
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 115 179
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 123 131
Swiss Cabinet election 2011 368 426
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

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