Ferre on political stock market

Registered since:
24.01.2008

Current posts from Ferre

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Hamburg state election, 2025 14 40
German general election, 2025 46 104
Turkish presidential election, 2023 14 38
Lübeck local election, 2023 5 23
Schleswig-Holstein local election, 2023 11 25
Genève state election, 2023 5 21
Bremen state election, 2023 31 39
Salzburg state election, 2023 32 48
Luzern state election, 2023 20 20
Senate elections St. Gallen. 2023 7 22
East-Berlin state election, 2023 7 26
Berlin state election, 2023 8 55
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 21 42
14 33
Danish general election 17 22
Israeli legislative election, 2022 18 23
6 28
8 29
Austrian presidential election, 2022 19 42
Italian general election, 2022 12 26
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 27 49
Tirol state election, 2022 11 38
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 11 47
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 15 50
French presidential election, 2022 39 54
Saarland state election, 2022 13 46
17 19
6 18
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 15 36
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 29 41
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 36 42
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 31 36
German general election, 2021 40 81
Berlin state election, 2021 21 60
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 4 50
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 22 54
17 55
Klagenfurt mayoral election, 2021 16 25
Frankfurt local elections, 2021 7 27
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 20 47
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 19 53
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 19 45
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 23 55
Liechtenstein general election, 2021 3 19
18 49
Bürgermeisterwahl Istanbul 2019 14 34
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2019 19 36
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (Kleinstparteien) 38 44
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Wiesbaden 2019 18 37
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Görlitz 2019 18 36
Europawahl Frankreich 2019 14 36
Parlamentswahl Dänemark 2019 23 35
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 19 57
Europawahl Österreich 2019 24 67
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 38 83
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 50 63
Europawahl 2019 - Mandate der EU-Befürworter 39 50
Europawahl Österreich 2014 28 48
Stadtratswahl Köln 2014 23 46
Europawahl Deutschland 2014 (Kleinstparteien) 7 49
Kommunalwahl Karlsruhe 2014 (kleine Parteien) 15 62
Kommunalwahl Karlsruhe 2014 25 67
Lübeck local election, 2013 24 70
Kommunalwahl Neumünster 2013 33 74
Kommunalwahl Flensburg 2013 34 62
Schleswig-Holstein local elections, 2013 15 110
Rendsburg-Eckernförde local election, 2013 36 91
Plön local election, 2013 32 85
Kiel local election, 2013 (small parties) 23 118
Kiel local election, 2013 20 140
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 94 179
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 93 439
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 93 468
Senate elections in Ticino 44 105
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 15 131
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 58 457
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Basel-Landschaft 32 72
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Basel-Stadt 60 144
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Bern 78 149
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 35 211
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 27 1,499
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 86 293
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 182 609
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 37 48
Steiermark 26 98
Volksentscheid Bayern 64 91
Weltmeistermarkt 2010 57 97
NRW - Koalition 54 127
North Rhine-Westphalia 154 193
NRW - Kleine Parteien 50 87
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 33 75
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 47 65
Schleswig-Holstein 173 275

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Liechtenstein general election, 2021 3 19
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 4 50
Genève state election, 2023 5 21
Tirol - Koalition 5 66
6 28
East-Berlin state election, 2023 7 26
Senate elections St. Gallen. 2023 7 22
Europawahl Deutschland 2014 (Kleinstparteien) 7 49
Berlin state election, 2023 8 55
8 29
Federal Convention Germany 8 101
Frankfurt local elections, 2021 7 27
Greece 9 77
Lübeck local election, 2023 5 23
Tirol state election, 2022 11 38
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 11 47
Italian general election, 2022 12 26
6 18
Saarland state election, 2022 13 46
Turkish presidential election, 2023 14 38
Bürgermeisterwahl Istanbul 2019 14 34
Dtl. - Kl. Parteien (interner Markt) 14 113
Schleswig-Holstein local election, 2023 11 25
Europawahl Frankreich 2019 14 36
Kommunalwahl Karlsruhe 2014 (kleine Parteien) 15 62
Schleswig-Holstein local elections, 2013 15 110
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 15 131
Hungary 15 79
Klagenfurt mayoral election, 2021 16 25
Hamburg state election, 2025 14 40
Danish general election 17 22
17 19
Latvia 17 70
14 33
Israeli legislative election, 2022 18 23
18 49
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Görlitz 2019 18 36
Bayern 1 18 72
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 19 53
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 19 45
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2019 19 36
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 19 57
Schl.-Holst. - Überhang 19 38
Salzburg 19 114
Luzern state election, 2023 20 20
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 20 47
Kiel local election, 2013 20 140
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 21 42
Berlin state election, 2021 21 60
Austrian presidential election, 2022 19 42
17 55
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 21 48
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 22 54
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Wiesbaden 2019 18 37
Hungary 22 49
Denmark 22 67
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 15 50
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 23 55
Parlamentswahl Dänemark 2019 23 35
Stadtratswahl Köln 2014 23 46
Kiel local election, 2013 (small parties) 23 118
United Kingdom 23 55
Northern Ireland 23 40
Nederland 23 70
Europawahl Österreich 2019 24 67
Lübeck local election, 2013 24 70
Kommunalwahl Karlsruhe 2014 25 67
Referendum Berlin 25 109
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 15 36
Steiermark 26 98
Spain 26 69
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 27 49
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 27 1,499
Iceland 27 92
Europawahl Österreich 2014 28 48
Bern 28 47
Lithuania 28 57
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 29 41
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 29 71
Portugal 30 53
USA - House 30 89
Bremen state election, 2023 31 39
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 31 36
Czech Republic 31 65
Schleswig-Holstein 31 103
Salzburg state election, 2023 32 48
Plön local election, 2013 32 85
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Basel-Landschaft 32 72
Ralf Stegner 32 97
Kärnten 32 137
Hessen - Wahlbeteiligung 32 84
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2008 32 88
Kommunalwahl Neumünster 2013 33 74
United Kingdom 33 52
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 33 75
European Parliament 33 85
Australian Open 2009 (Women) 33 80
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 33 44
Bavaria 33 132
Germany 34 139
Kommunalwahl Flensburg 2013 34 62
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 35 211
Burgenland 35 75
Schleswig-Holstein 35 141
Peter Harry Carstensen 35 94
Luxembourg 35 50
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 36 42
Rendsburg-Eckernförde local election, 2013 36 91
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 37 48
Israel 37 100
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (Kleinstparteien) 38 44
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 38 83
Germany 38 74
United Kingdom 38 79
Ypsilanti 38 74
French presidential election, 2022 39 54
Europawahl 2019 - Mandate der EU-Befürworter 39 50
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 39 86
Australian Open 2009 (Men) 39 80
German general election, 2021 40 81
France 40 71
Dieter Althaus 40 78
Italien - preferred 40 82
Ireland 41 66
Suisse - Federal Council 2009 43 79
Austria 43 144
USA - 538 43 71
EM-Spielemarkt 43 81
24 - 7th Season I 44 85
Gruppe C 45 80
Germany 46 180
Italy 46 74
Gruppe D 46 76
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 47 65
Hessen - Drittstärkste Partei 47 134
Hesse 47 319
USA -Ohio 48 75
Thuringia 49 146
USA - Florida 49 77
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 50 63
NRW - Kleine Parteien 50 87
CH - Volksabstimmung am 08.02.2009 50 78
Slovenia 50 66
Gruppe A 51 87
Wolfgang Clement 52 88
Germany 53 226
Große Koalition 53 163
Schweiz - SVP 53 96
Senate elections in Ticino 44 105
NRW - Koalition 54 127
Poland 54 66
Hesse - coalitions 55 257
Upper Austria 56 151
Hessen - Neuwahlen 56 129
Gruppe B 56 92
Weltmeistermarkt 2010 57 97
USA - Senate 2008 57 97
24 - 7th Season III 57 75
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 58 457
Österreich - Kärnten 58 132
German general election, 2025 46 104
South Tyrol 59 85
Klubanzahl 60 142
Hesse 61 245
Volksentscheid Bayern 64 91
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 64 122
Hessen - Koalition 66 121
Europameister 67 122
Österreich - Tirol 68 124
Lower Saxony - coalitions 68 101
Schleswig-Holstein 69 214
Republican Candidate 69 166
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 70 143
Stärkste Partei 70 198
1. Bundesliga 74 170
van Staa 78 122
Saxony 79 146
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Basel-Stadt 60 144
SPD-Kanzlerkandidat 81 156
Bavaria 81 169
Saarland 83 163
FPÖ 84 171
SPÖ 84 155
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Bern 78 149
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 86 293
Bundeskanzler 89 220
KPÖ - BZÖ 89 129
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 93 468
Wahlbeteiligung 93 141
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 93 439
ÖVP 96 171
Lower Saxony 99 154
USA - President 110 221
Hamburg 111 179
Dinkhauser 113 220
Tirol 113 397
BZÖ 116 168
Drittstärkste Kraft 127 129
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 94 179
GRÜNE 140 194
Dtl. - Bundeskanzler 143 213
LIF 153 234
North Rhine-Westphalia 154 193
Federal President Germany 167 251
Schleswig-Holstein 173 275
Austria 177 725
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 182 609
Österreich - SPÖ 183 505
Germany 207 559
USA Elections 2008 223 294
Hamburg 688 866
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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Your Feedback?

Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com