costello on political stock market

Registered since:
26.08.2007

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 40 76
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 20 35
Thurgau state election, 2024 4 24
Salzburg local election, 2024 23 37
Austrian general election,2024 39 85
Südtirol provincial election, 2023 9 25
Bavarian state election, 2023 23 57
Hessen state election, 2023 35 50
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 19 36
Turkish presidential election, 2023 14 38
Lübeck local election, 2023 20 23
Schleswig-Holstein local election, 2023 22 25
Bremen state election, 2023 33 39
Luzern state election, 2023 18 20
French legislative election, 2022 10 33
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 10 47
French presidential election, 2022 36 54
Saarland state election, 2022 12 46
Graz local election, 2021 16 35
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
German general election, 2021 44 81
Berlin state election, 2021 21 27
Lower Saxony local elections, 2021 9 31
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 29 54
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 22 47
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 21 45
Hessen local elections, 2021 20 43
27 49
Mönchengladbach mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 2 15
Münster mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 13 19
Wuppertal mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 15 17
Dortmund mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 6 21
Chemnitz mayoral election, 2020 25 34
Vienna local election, 2020 35 57
6 24
10 20
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 7 31
Grossratswahl Thurgau 2020 4 27
Israeli legislative election, 2020 6 29
Oberbürgermeisterwahl München 2020 18 39
Hamburg regional election, 2020 19 36
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 61 101
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2019 28 36
Kommunalwahl Baden-Württemberg 2019 24 49
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Görlitz 2019 8 36
Europawahl Österreich 2019 (kleine Parteien) 14 54
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (kleine Parteien) 26 69
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 (kl. Parteien) 18 50
Europawahl 2019 - Mandate der EU-Befürworter 38 50
Latvian parlamentary election, 2018 13 28
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 43 71
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Freiburg 2018 17 29
Volksinitiative "NO Billag" 5 18
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 - Koalitionsmarkt 37 57
Grossratswahl Bern 2018 4 18
Landtagswahl Tirol 2018 33 44
Landtagswahl Niederösterreich 2018 28 49
Gemeinderatswahl Zürich 2018 6 17
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2017 24 53
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 35 86
Landtagswahl Nordrhein-Westfalen 2017 (kleine Parteien) 8 34
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2017 (kleine Parteien) 38 47
Grosssratswahlen 2016 - Kanton Neuenburg 10 17
Landtagswahl Saarland 2017 (kleine Parteien) 16 38
US presidential election, 2016 (swing states) 12 17
US presidential election, 2016 (538) 20 49
Bundespräsidentenwahl Österreich 2016 129 154
Senate elections - Canton Ticino 2015 20 32
Senate elections - Canton Luzern 2015 23 52
Swiss House of Representatives election 2015 – big parties 82 363
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Dresden 2015 19 63
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2015 (kleine Parteien) 36 81
Stadtratswahl Köln 2014 26 46
Grossratswahl Kanton Bern 2014 24 53
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 27 327
Schleswig-Holstein local elections, 2013 22 110
Plön local election, 2013 15 85
Kiel local election, 2013 26 140
Tyrolia federal election, 2013 34 72
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 (2. Wahlgang) 7 48
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 59 179
Leipzig mayoral election, 2013 19 48
Gemeinderatswahlen Graz 2012 (kleine Parteien) 9 95
Liechtenstein parliamentary election, 2013 6 35
Graz local election, 2013 115 144
US Senate election in Virginia, 2012 10 24
US Senate election in Maine, 2012 8 30
Volksabstimmung zum Nichtraucherschutz 13 32
Gemeinderatswahl Krems 2012 20 37
Romanian parliamentary election, 2012 14 35
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 32 439
Grossratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Basel-Stadt 12 35
1. Bundesliga Österreich 2012/2013 13 38
US Senate election, 2012 18 35
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 69 133
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 91 468
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 46 89
Senate elections in Canton St. Gallen 74 345
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 23 131
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Bern 70 149
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Ticino 44 112
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 104 1,499
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 3 80
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 36 48
North Rhine-Westphalia 101 193
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 4 75
Schleswig-Holstein 35 275

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
2 19
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck 4 75
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 3 80
Düsseldorf mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 6 24
Volksinitiative "NO Billag" 5 18
Liechtenstein parliamentary election, 2013 6 35
US gubernatorial elections, 2012 5 29
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 (2. Wahlgang) 7 48
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 7 86
Magdeburg mayoral election, 2022 8 24
Mülheim/Ruhr mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 8 19
Parlamentswahl Italien 2018 8 33
Thurgau state election, 2024 4 24
Gemeinderatswahlen Graz 2012 (kleine Parteien) 9 95
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 10 41
Dortmund mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 6 21
Grossratswahl Bern 2018 4 18
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 10 48
Cologne mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 7 19
Grosssratswahlen 2016 - Kanton Neuenburg 10 17
Gemeinderatswahl Burgenland 2012 11 42
Danmark 11 53
Saarland state election, 2022 12 46
12 36
US presidential election, 2016 (swing states) 12 17
Germany 12 139
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 13 50
Münster mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 13 19
US presidential election, 2016 13 77
Volksabstimmung zum Nichtraucherschutz 13 32
Slovenia 13 50
Europawahl Österreich 2019 (kleine Parteien) 14 54
US Senate elections 2016 11 29
Frankfurt local elections, 2021 7 27
Aachen mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 15 21
Europawahl Deutschland 2019 (Kleinstparteien) 15 44
Plön local election, 2013 15 85
US-Senate elections 2012 (Swing States) 12 23
Romania 15 30
Sweden 15 68
Kiel local election, 2023 16 18
Graz local election, 2021 16 35
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Wiesbaden 2019 16 37
Präsidentschaftswahl Tschech. Republik 2018 16 28
US Presidential election, 2012 - 538 market 16 47
Niederösterreich 16 106
Genève state election, 2023 17 21
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Lübeck 2017 15 31
Kantonsratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Schaffhausen 17 31
Nederland 17 70
Luzern state election, 2023 18 20
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2019 (kl. Parteien) 18 50
Parlamentswahl Katalonien 2017 13 27
Parteivorsitzende der Grünen 15 34
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 18 609
Federal Convention Germany 18 101
Hamburg regional election, 2020 19 36
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Dresden 2015 19 63
Schleswig-Holstein 19 103
Lübeck local election, 2023 20 23
Bonn mayoral election, 2020, 2nd round 20 22
Senate elections - Canton Ticino 2015 20 32
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 20 71
Berlin state election, 2021 21 27
US presidential election, 2016 (538) 20 49
Österreich (intern) 21 63
Schleswig-Holstein local election, 2023 22 25
Schleswig-Holstein local elections, 2013 22 110
Bavaria 22 51
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 (kleine Parteien) 23 53
Grossratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Basel-Stadt 12 35
Schl.-Holst. - SSW 23 67
Hamburg - coalitions 23 121
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 36
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2017 24 53
Grossratswahl Kanton Bern 2014 24 53
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 24 127
Salzburg local election, 2024 23 37
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 21 45
Bundesvorstandswahl AfD 2017 22 36
British General Elections, 2015 22 45
Schl.-Holst. - Überhang 25 38
Lower Saxony - coalitions 25 101
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 - Einzug Linke / FDP / Andere 22 42
Car market AUT 26 62
Greece 26 56
27 49
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 27 108
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 28 53
Europawahl Österreich 2019 28 67
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 28 200
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 29 54
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 26 59
Denmark 30 67
Landtagswahl Nordrhein-Westfalen 2017 31 53
Stadtratswahl Köln 2014 26 46
Ukrainian parliamentary election 2012 31 31
United Kingdom 31 79
South Tyrol 31 43
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 32 439
Bremen state election, 2023 33 39
Salzburg 33 114
Kommunalwahl Schleswig-Holstein 2018 34 41
Thüringen - Kleine Parteien 34 48
Hessen state election, 2023 35 50
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 35 86
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 36 50
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 36 82
Kommunalwahl Neumünster 2013 36 74
Europawahl Deutschland 2014 37 92
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2008 37 88
Bavaria 37 132
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2017 (kleine Parteien) 38 47
Wolfgang Clement 38 88
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 - Koalitionsmarkt 37 57
Poland 40 66
USA - 538 40 71
EM-Spielemarkt 41 81
Senate elections in Ticino 42 105
Neue Regierung 42 96
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 31 71
Iceland 43 92
Berlin state election, 2021 44 60
Tyrolia federal election, 2013 34 72
Bayern - Ministerpräsident 44 68
Drittstärkste Kraft 44 129
BZÖ 45 102
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 46 89
Kaernten federal election, 2013 42 105
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 48 143
Klubanzahl 50 142
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 51 65
Austrian general election,2024 39 85
USA - House 52 89
Swiss Parliamentary election in Zurich 53 143
USA - Florida 53 77
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 54 122
Australian Open 2009 (Men) 55 80
Democratic Primaries 57 132
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 59 179
Österreich - Neuwahlen 60 132
Schweiz - SVP 61 96
Hesse 61 319
Austria 62 144
Republican Candidate 66 166
Volksentscheid Bayern 68 91
Hesse - coalitions 69 257
Saxony 71 146
van Staa 73 122
Senate elections in Canton St. Gallen 74 345
KPÖ - BZÖ 75 129
Hessen - Neuwahlen 79 129
Schleswig-Holstein 82 141
SPÖ 83 155
Hamburg 83 179
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 (kleine Parteien) 85 134
Brandenburg 91 176
Schleswig-Holstein 93 214
Bavaria 95 169
Wahlbeteiligung 97 141
North Rhine-Westphalia 101 193
Dinkhauser 110 220
USA - President 115 221
Bundespräsidentenwahl Österreich 2016 129 154
Dtl. - Bundeskanzler 131 213
GRÜNE 152 194
Österreich - SPÖ 214 505
Austria 473 725
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
Your Feedback?

Please send error messages and feedback by email to: help@wahlfieber.com