miles on political stock market

Registered since:
16.02.2008

Current posts from miles

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Hamburg state election, 2025 14 40
German general election, 2025 46 104
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 40 76
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 11 35
Salzburg local election, 2024 10 37
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 2023 (2nd turn) 8 20
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2023 (2nd turn) 8 19
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 2023 (2nd turn) 4 19
Senate elections - Canton Genève 2023 (2nd turn) 17 20
Czech presidential election, 2023 11 20
14 33
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 15 50
Saarland state election, 2022 29 46
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 12 41
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
German general election, 2021 28 81
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 21 50
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 39 54
Villach local elections, 2021 6 22
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 22 47
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 18 34
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 (small parties) 21 45
Dutch general election, 2021 6 31
Vienna local election, 2020 12 57
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 7 31
Grossratswahl Thurgau 2020 4 27
Israeli legislative election, 2020 6 29
Oberbürgermeisterwahl München 2020 18 39
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 22 49
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 22 47
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 (kleine Parteien) 16 41
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 26 51
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - kleine Parteien 21 52
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 39 69
Bundesvorstandswahl AfD 2017 18 36
British General Elections, 2015 22 45
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2013 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 21 55
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 37 127
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 28 439
Kantonsratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Schaffhausen 23 31
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 291 468
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 45 89
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 148 222
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 90 120
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 66 131
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 81 1,499
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 20 48
North Rhine-Westphalia 59 193
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 34 65
Schleswig-Holstein 194 275

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 2023 (2nd turn) 4 19
Israeli legislative election, 2021 8 32
Senate elections in Ticino 8 105
Nederland 9 70
Salzburg local election, 2024 10 37
Klagenfurt mayoral election, 2021 6 25
Klagenfurt local elections, 2021 8 26
Villach local elections, 2021 6 22
Czech presidential election, 2023 11 20
Grossratswahl Thurgau 2020 4 27
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 11 35
Vienna local election, 2020 12 57
Senate elections - Canton Aargau 2023 (2nd turn) 8 19
Kantonsratswahl St. Gallen 2020 7 27
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 7 31
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2015 15 53
Bern 16 47
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 (kleine Parteien) 16 41
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 15 50
Dtl. - Kl. Parteien (interner Markt) 18 113
Oberbürgermeisterwahl München 2020 18 39
Czech Republic 19 65
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 20 48
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2013 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 21 55
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 21 44
Graz local election, 2021 19 35
USA -Ohio 22 75
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
Kantonsratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Schaffhausen 23 31
German general election, 2021 (special market) 24 26
North Rhine-Westphalia federal election 2012 (small parties) 24 108
Volksabstimmung zum Nichtraucherschutz 18 32
Hungary 26 49
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 26 48
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 (small parties) 22 47
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Leipzig 2020 21 36
Salzburg 27 114
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 21 50
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 - kleine Parteien 20 48
Ypsilanti 28 74
Saarland state election, 2022 29 46
Vorarlberg 29 87
USA - House 29 89
ÖVP-GRÜNE 30 51
Blocher - SVP 30 43
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2015 23 70
Federal Convention Germany 31 101
German federal election, 2021 25 44
Bavaria 32 132
Polen 33 57
Senate elections - Canton Schwyz 34 63
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 34 65
Slovenia 34 66
Nationalratswahl Schweiz 2019 26 51
Österreich - Wahlkarten 36 67
Hungary 37 79
Tirol 37 397
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 35 55
Schleswig-Holstein 38 103
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 26 72
United Kingdom 39 79
Neue Regierung 39 96
Italy 39 59
Lithuania 40 57
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 31 71
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 41 86
European Parliament 42 85
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 40 76
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 44 200
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 45 89
Hessen - Drittstärkste Partei 46 134
Germany 48 74
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 50 122
Hessen - Neuwahlen 51 129
Bayern-Koalitionen 52 73
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 56 143
Hesse 60 245
Klubanzahl 61 142
German general election, 2025 46 104
Wolfgang Clement 64 88
Hessen - Koalition 65 121
Sachsen - Koalition 67 88
Volksentscheid Bayern 69 91
North Rhine-Westphalia 70 104
Austria 71 144
Iceland 74 92
Italien - preferred 76 82
Österreich - Tirol 77 124
SPD-Kanzlerkandidat 80 156
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 81 1,499
Saxony 84 146
Thuringia 86 146
Drittstärkste Kraft 92 129
SPÖ 95 155
Schleswig-Holstein 97 214
Wahlbeteiligung 98 141
Federal President Germany 108 251
Dinkhauser 117 220
Dtl. - Bundeskanzler 124 213
Germany 127 180
GRÜNE 137 194
Germany 181 226
Schleswig-Holstein 194 275
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 249 609
Hamburg 300 866
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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