Bulgarian parliamentary elections

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  • Bulgarian parliamentary election, October 2024

    Wahlfieber Team, 22.02.2026 21:47, Reply to #10
    #11

    ..

    Parlamentswahl Bulgarien Oktober 2024 - Ermittlung der Prognosegüte

    ...


    GERBAPSDPSPP-DBVazBSP-OLITNMEChVelAndere
    NoteMAEsMAPEMSERang
    Ergebnis June 202424,700,0017,1014,3013,809,306,003,004,707,10






















    Prognosen Oktober 2024
































    Umfragen















    Alpha Research26,507,907,4014,9014,207,206,103,802,609,40
    2,781,258,032,568
    Exacta26,708,107,3014,6014,307,506,003,702,609,20
    2,831,298,342,629
    Trend24,907,807,0014,8015,206,506,604,003,609,60
    2,711,266,893,107
    Market Links27,209,308,1016,0014,907,905,201,804,105,50
    3,521,7612,053,7812
    Sova Haris25,608,706,5014,7014,509,806,803,104,206,10
    3,091,439,163,6810
    Mediana27,709,805,6013,9015,5010,007,903,400,006,20
    8,534,8635,0416,7513
    Gallup26,107,807,6016,2014,907,106,204,103,806,20
    2,421,125,622,475

















    Sonst. Umfr.-Prognosen















    PolitPro25,508,506,6015,5015,207,206,403,502,009,60
    3,331,5410,784,0811
    Politico26,008,009,0015,0014,008,006,004,003,007,00
    2,110,855,351,011
    Globe Elections UN26,198,197,3415,1314,647,416,103,493,308,21
    2,591,166,982,336


















    GERBAPSDPSPP-DBVazBSP-OLITNMEChVelAndere
    NoteMAEsMAPEMSERang
    Experten-prognosen















    Wahlfieber Team26,008,008,0015,0015,007,506,003,503,507,50
    2,341,015,871,824
    MMI-Wahltrend26,157,938,0015,2814,537,456,083,853,237,53
    2,280,985,641,702

















    Wahltipps















    Wahlfieber Average26,087,968,0015,1414,767,486,043,683,367,51
    2,310,995,751,753


















    GERBAPSDPSPP-DBVazBSP-OLITNMEChVelAndere
    NoteMAEsMAPEMSERang
    Durchschnitts-werte















    Umfragen26,398,497,0715,0114,798,006,403,413,486,96
    3,681,8512,164,99
    Sonstige Prognosen25,908,237,6515,2114,617,546,173,662,778,27
    2,711,187,702,47
    Experten-prognosen26,087,968,0015,1414,767,486,043,683,367,51
    2,310,995,761,76
    Wahltipps26,087,968,0015,1414,767,486,043,683,367,51
    2,310,995,751,75

















    Gesamt-durchschnitt















    Summen26,208,317,4215,0914,747,776,263,533,277,41
    3,161,509,653,66


































    Ergebnis Oktober 202425,527,2311,1713,7412,927,326,564,443,877,23























    GERBAPSDPSPP-DBVazBSP-OLITNMEChVelAndere
    NoteMAEsMAPEMSERang

















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