spike on political stock market

Registered since:
26.08.2007

Current posts from spike

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Berlin state election, 2023 36 55
7 33
German general election, 2021 (special market) 7 26
German general election, 2021 (small parties) 13 42
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 36
German general election, 2021 44 81
Berlin state election, 2021 23 60
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 21 50
Lower Saxony local elections, 2021 9 31
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 40 54
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 7 31
Grossratswahl Thurgau 2020 4 27
Hamburg regional election, 2020 33 57
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 32 53
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 (verm. zweitstärkste Partei) 25 35
Latvian parlamentary election, 2018 13 28
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 (kleine Parteien) 24 53
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Potsdam 2018 16 39
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Lübeck 2017 15 31
US presidential election, 2016 6 77
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2015 16 53
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2015 23 70
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 (kleine Parteien) 103 134
Kommunalwahl Neumünster 2013 15 74
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2013 - Einzug FDP / Linke / Piraten 30 55
Karlsruhe mayoral election 2012 42 179
Niedersachsen federal election, 2013 44 127
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 30 59
Volksabstimmung zum Nichtraucherschutz 11 32
Gemeinderatswahl Krems 2012 21 37
Romanian parliamentary election, 2012 14 35
Parlamentswahl Litauen 2012 6 25
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Stuttgart 2012 19 58
Kantonsratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Schaffhausen 11 31
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 34 468
Landtagswahlen Saarland 2012 77 89
Senate elections - Canton Lucerne 34 116
Senate elections in Ticino 16 105
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 42 457
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Bern 38 149
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 150 1,499
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 - small parties 27 47
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 56 609
Volksentscheid Bayern 71 91
NRW - Kleine Parteien 29 87
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 53 65

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Federal election Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2011 3 80
US presidential election, 2016 6 77
7 33
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 9 48
Danmark 10 53
Kantonsratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Schaffhausen 11 31
Volksabstimmung zum Nichtraucherschutz 11 32
Salzburg 11 114
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 7 31
Parlamentswahl Litauen 2012 6 25
Niederösterreich 12 106
Ukrainian parliamentary election 2012 13 31
Ralf Stegner 13 97
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, 2021 (small parties) 8 36
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 15 82
Kantonsratswahl St. Gallen 2020 7 27
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremerhaven 2015 16 53
Schleswig-Holstein federal election 2012 (small parties) 16 200
Poland 16 66
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 (kleine Parteien) 15 37
Republican Primaries 17 80
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 (2. Wahlgang) 18 48
Bayern-Koalitionen 18 73
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Lübeck 2017 15 31
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Stuttgart 2012 19 58
Greece 19 56
Senate elections - Canton Thurgau 21 131
Grossratswahlen 2012 - Kanton Basel-Stadt 12 35
Nederland 22 70
Australian Open 2009 (Women) 23 80
Oberbürgermeisterwahl München 2020 18 39
24 - 7th Season I 24 85
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 (sonstige Parteien) 20 39
Germany 25 139
Hungary 25 79
Österreich (intern) 25 63
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Leipzig 2020 21 36
Lübeck local election, 2013 27 70
Berlin state election, 2021 23 60
Luxembourg 28 50
Oberbürgermeisterwahl Kiel 2012 29 439
NRW - Kleine Parteien 29 87
South Tyrol 29 43
Grüne Urabstimmung zur Spitzenkandidatur 2013 30 59
Schleswig-Holstein 30 103
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2015 (kleine Parteien) 31 81
Thüringen - Kleine Parteien 32 48
Bavaria 32 51
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 32 53
Bürgerschaftswahl Bremen 2015 23 70
Spain 33 69
EM-Spielemarkt 33 81
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 34 101
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 34 293
Greece 34 77
Bayern 34 93
Deutscher Meister 2012 26 50
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2008 36 88
CH - Volksabstimmung am 08.02.2009 37 78
Berlin state election, 2023 36 55
United Kingdom 39 79
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 39 71
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 40 71
House of Representatives 2011 - Canton Graubünden 41 211
Poland 41 55
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 42 457
Slovenia 43 66
German soccer champion 2009 44 108
Bayern - Ministerpräsident 45 68
USA - 538 46 71
Kärnten 48 137
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 49 143
Hessen - Koalition 51 121
Hesse 51 319
Bürgerentscheid Lübeck - Wahlbeteiligung 53 65
Iceland 54 92
Kaernten federal election, 2013 42 105
Gruppe B 56 92
Hamburg - coalitions 57 121
Hessen - Drittstärkste Partei 59 134
USA - Senate 2008 62 97
Germany 63 180
Thuringia 64 146
Italien - preferred 64 82
Klubanzahl 67 142
Volksentscheid Bayern 71 91
Wahlbeteiligung 71 141
Senate elections in Canton St. Gallen 73 345
Saarland 75 163
Drittstärkste Kraft 76 129
Referendum Berlin 77 109
Israel 79 100
Senate elections - Canton Bern 83 252
USA - President 89 221
GRÜNE 93 194
KPÖ - BZÖ 96 129
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 (kleine Parteien) 103 134
North Rhine-Westphalia 120 193
ÖVP 125 171
Dtl. - Koalition 134 252
Dinkhauser 145 220
House of Representatives election 2011 – big parties 150 1,499
Österreich - SPÖ 186 505
Schleswig-Holstein 199 275
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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