Parlamentswahlen in Schottland und Wales

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  • Parlamentswahlen in Schottland und Wales

    gruener (Luddit), 07.05.2026 19:48
    #1

    nachfolgend die von mir/uns erfassten Umfragen und Prognosen - incl. aller Wahlfieber-Prognosen

  • Parlamentswahl in Wales 2026 - Prognosen und Einschätzungen

    gruener (Luddit), 07.05.2026 19:52, Reply to #1
    #2
    LabConPCGreensLibDemReformAndere
    Ergebnis 202136,2025,1020,704,404,301,108,20
    Prognosen 2026
    Wahlbörsen *
    Wahlfieber - Schlusskurs14,5611,0029,859,003,9228,353,32
    Umfragen
    Find it out9,0011,0035,009,006,0028,002,00
    More in Common16,0012,0030,009,004,0027,002,00
    JL Partners16,0012,0029,009,006,0025,004,00
    Survation12,009,0033,008,006,0029,003,00
    Ipsos15,0012,0030,0010,006,0025,002,00
    Beaufort Research17,009,0030,0011,006,0027,002,00
    YouGov12,009,0033,008,006,0029,003,00
    Weitere Umfragen
    Sendestörung14,0010,0031,009,505,0027,503,00
    XPoll2114,6810,0130,849,214,9127,602,75
    Sonstige Umfr.-Prognosen
    Grok14,0010,0031,008,006,0028,003,00
    Pollcheck13,5010,3031,208,605,2028,402,80
    LabConPCGreensLibDemReformAndere
    Expertenprognosen
    Wahlfieber Team (MMI)13,0010,5032,009,005,5027,003,00
    MMI-Wahltrend13,4310,2531,488,675,5727,732,89
    Wahltipps
    Wahlfieber-User13,2110,3831,748,835,5427,362,94
    Wahlfieber Average13,8110,3631,159,035,0727,592,98
    LabConPCGreensLibDemReformAndere
    Durchschnittswerte
    Wahlbörsen14,5611,0029,859,003,9228,353,32
    Umfragen13,8610,5731,439,145,7127,142,57
    Weitere Umfragen14,3410,0030,929,354,9627,552,88
    Sonstige Prognosen13,7510,1531,108,305,6028,202,90
    Expertenprognosen13,2110,3831,748,835,5427,362,94
    Wahltipps13,5110,3731,448,935,3027,482,96
    Gesamtdurchschnitt
    Summen13,8210,4231,278,995,4227,472,79
  • Parlamentswahl in Scottland 2026 (Regional vote) - Prognosen und Einschätzungen

    gruener (Luddit), 07.05.2026 20:04, Reply to #2
    #3
    SNPConLabGreenLibDemReformAndere
    Ergebnis 202140,3023,5017,908,105,100,204,90
    Prognosen 2026
    Wahlbörsen
    Wahlfieber28,6711,8715,1213,579,5718,522,68
    Umfragen
    Find it out26,0011,0012,0017,0011,0018,005,00
    Lord Ashcroft31,0010,0012,0017,009,0015,005,00
    More in Common29,0012,0016,0010,0012,0019,003,00
    Norstat28,0014,0017,0012,0010,0017,002,00
    JL Partner27,0012,0019,0012,009,0020,003,00
    Survation29,0012,0017,0012,009,0019,002,00
    Ipsos26,0010,0015,0017,0011,0018,003,00
    Stonehaven33,009,0016,0013,008,0019,002,00
    YouGov28,0011,0016,0015,009,0019,003,00
    Weitere Umfragen
    Sendestörung29,5011,0015,0013,509,0019,003,00
    XPoll2129,6011,1614,4913,658,8419,602,66
    Sonstige Umfr.-Prognosen
    Grok28,0012,0016,0013,0010,0018,003,00
    SNPConLabGreenLibDemReformAndere
    Expertenprognosen
    Wahlfieber Team (MMI)29,0011,0015,0014,0010,0018,003,00
    MMI-Wahltrend28,1311,1715,6214,319,7118,502,74
    Wahltipps
    Wahlfieber-User28,5711,0915,3114,169,8618,252,87
    Wahlfieber Average28,9111,2215,0913,869,5018,652,82
    SNPConLabGreenLibDemReformAndere
    Durchschnittswerte
    Wahlbörsen28,6711,8715,1213,579,5718,522,68
    Umfragen28,5611,2215,5613,899,7818,223,11
    Weitere Umfragen29,5511,0814,7413,578,9219,302,83
    Sonstige Prognosen28,0012,0016,0013,0010,0018,003,00
    Expertenprognosen28,5711,0915,3114,169,8618,252,87
    Wahltipps28,7411,1515,2014,019,6818,452,85
    Gesamtdurchschnitt
    Summen28,6711,2715,3913,839,6818,382,99
  • Parlamentswahl in Scottland 2026 (Constituency vote) - Prognosen und Einschätzungen

    gruener (Luddit), 08.05.2026 19:13, Reply to #3
    #4
    SNPConLabLibDemReformGreensAndere
    Ergebnis 202147,7021,9021,606,900,001,300,60
    Prognosen 2026
    Umfragen
    Find it out41,0010,0015,0012,0017,001,003,00
    Lord Ashcroft39,009,0012,0010,0014,0011,005,00
    More in Common32,0013,0020,0013,0018,002,002,00
    Norstat36,0014,0020,0011,0016,001,002,00
    JL Partners32,0010,0020,009,0018,009,003,00
    Survation39,0012,0019,0010,0017,002,002,00
    Ipsos35,0011,0020,0011,0018,002,003,00
    Stonehaven37,009,0017,008,0018,0010,001,00
    YouGov39,0010,0018,0011,0018,002,002,00
    Sonstige Umfr.-Prognosen
    Grok37,0012,0018,0011,0018,002,002,00
    Pollcheck36,7011,9018,4011,6017,601,701,00
    SNPConLabLibDemReformGreensAndere
    Expertenprognosen
    Wahlfieber Team (MMI)37,5011,5018,5011,5017,002,002,00
    MMI-Wahltrend37,4411,2818,7811,0217,521,942,00
    Wahltipps
    Wahlfieber Average37,4711,3918,6411,2617,261,972,00
    SNPConLabLibDemReformGreensAndere
    Durchschnittswerte
    Umfragen36,6710,8917,8910,5617,114,442,56
    Sonstige Prognosen36,8511,9518,2011,3017,801,851,50
    Expertenprognosen37,4711,3918,6411,2617,261,972,00
    Wahltipps37,4711,3918,6411,2617,261,972,00
    Gesamtdurchschnitt
    Summen36,7011,3118,5610,8817,492,972,08

    Achtung:

    Noch nicht auf 100 normiert.

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