Jumi1974 on political stock market

Registered since:
21.12.2008

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
5 15
16 20
27 29
German general election, 2025 8 104
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 7 41
9 33
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 5 76
6 26
Bavarian state election, 2023 13 57
Hessen state election, 2023 37 50
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 6 49
36 44
German general election, 2021 63 81
23 25
19 24
28 49
25 34
5 24
Bolivian presidential election, 2020 3 18
Stuttgart mayoral election, 2020 16 22
Chemnitz mayoral election, 2020 11 34
7 36
Vienna local election, 2020 48 57
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 47 59
22 24
17 23
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 53 72
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 (verm. zweitstärkste Partei) 29 35
Fußball-WM 2018 44 53
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2017 12 53
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 (Drittstärkste Partei) 43 51
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (Grüne/Liste Pilz/NEOS) 9 53
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 31 82
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 (Wahlbeteiligung) 5 20
US presidential election, 2016 (538) 11 49
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 39 58
US presidential election, 2016 53 77
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2016 4 65
GOP Presidential Nominee 2016 69 100
Greek referendum, 2015 31 35
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2014 (Koalitionsmarkt) 38 39
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2014 (kleine Parteien) 39 41
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 - Koalitionsmarkt 58 60
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 - Drittstärkste Kraft 24 37
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 19 206
Exits from the Euro-zone 93 116
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 49 117
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Einzug der Piratenpartei 30 45
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 47 62
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Koalitionen 5 52
Regional election Niedersachsen 2011 33 39
2. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 8 45
Presidential primary of the French Socialist Party 2011 22 32
Federal election Berlin 2011 18 96
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 41 609
Rücktrittsforderungen der Grünen 24 29
NRW - Koalition 89 127
NRW - Ministerpräsident 51 62
North Rhine-Westphalia 68 193
North Rhine-Westphalia (closed market) 32 39
NRW - Kleine Parteien 24 87
Nederland 6 54
USA - Republican primaries 2010 8 25

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
United Kingdom 1 55
Fußball: Herbstmeister 2 96
In eigener Angelegenheit 2 39
Brandenburg - Stärkste Partei 2 78
Bolivian presidential election, 2020 3 18
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2016 4 65
Saarland - MP 4 100
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 5 76
5 24
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 (Wahlbeteiligung) 5 20
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Koalitionen 5 52
Thüringen - MP 5 103
6 26
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 6 49
Nederland 6 54
5 15
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 7 41
7 36
German general election, 2025 8 104
2. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 8 45
USA - Republican primaries 2010 8 25
9 33
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (Grüne/Liste Pilz/NEOS) 9 53
Vancouver 2010 - Curling D 9 48
USA - VA 9 25
Dtl. - Wahlbeteiligung 9 126
Schl.-Holst. - Freie Wähler 9 90
North Rhine-Westphalia 9 104
Great Britain (closed market) 10 28
USA - NYC 10 33
Chemnitz mayoral election, 2020 11 34
US presidential election, 2016 (538) 11 49
Thüringen - Koalition 11 103
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2017 12 53
Bavarian state election, 2023 13 57
Saxony 13 146
Hessen - Drittstärkste Partei 13 134
Aufsteiger 1. Bundesliga 14 70
Schl.-Holst. - Kleine Parteien 14 86
Champions League 2010 15 72
Vancouver 2010 - Curling H 15 48
16 20
Stuttgart mayoral election, 2020 16 22
Vancouver 2010 - Eishockey 16 64
17 23
Federal election Berlin 2011 18 96
EU-Außenminister 18 30
19 24
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 19 206
Die Linke 19 79
USA - NJ 19 24
United Kingdom 20 79
USA - NY 23 21 24
Thüringen - SPD 21 35
22 24
Presidential primary of the French Socialist Party 2011 22 32
United Kingdom 22 52
Schl.-Holst. - Koalition 22 166
23 25
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 - Drittstärkste Kraft 24 37
Rücktrittsforderungen der Grünen 24 29
NRW - Kleine Parteien 24 87
25 34
UEFA Europe League 25 55
US Open (Men) 25 46
27 29
Oscar 09: Actor in a Leading Role 27 33
28 49
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 (verm. zweitstärkste Partei) 29 35
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2011 - Einzug der Piratenpartei 30 45
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 31 82
Greek referendum, 2015 31 35
North Rhine-Westphalia (closed market) 32 39
Herbstmeister Österreich 32 46
Regional election Niedersachsen 2011 33 39
Dtl. - Koalition 33 252
1. Bundesliga 34 170
36 44
Ukraine 36 60
French Open 2009 (Men) 36 53
Hessen state election, 2023 37 50
Saarland 37 163
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2014 (Koalitionsmarkt) 38 39
Saarland - Koalition 38 121
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 39 58
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2014 (kleine Parteien) 39 41
Oberösterreich - Koalition 39 50
Hesse 39 245
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 41 609
Burgenland 41 75
European Parliament 41 85
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 (Drittstärkste Partei) 43 51
Fußball-WM 2018 44 53
Czech Republic 45 67
2. Bundesliga 45 103
Vancouver 2010 - Goldmedaillen 45 69
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 47 59
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 47 62
Schl.-Holst. - MP 47 88
Dtl. - Piraten - Rechte 47 113
Vienna local election, 2020 48 57
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 49 117
Öst. - BP-Wahlbeteiligung 50 75
NRW - Ministerpräsident 51 62
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2019 53 72
US presidential election, 2016 53 77
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 - Koalitionsmarkt 58 60
Suisse - Federal Council 2009 59 79
Dtl. - Drittstärkste Partei 59 124
Brandenburg - Koalition 60 94
Hungary 62 79
German general election, 2021 63 81
Schl.-Holst. - SSW 63 67
Austria 64 144
Dtl. - Ministermarkt 66 94
North Rhine-Westphalia 68 193
GOP Presidential Nominee 2016 69 100
Dtl. - Überhangmandate 72 84
Germany 74 226
Sachsen - Koalition 75 88
German soccer champion 2009 77 108
Germany 78 139
Fußball: Dt. Meister 80 80
Opel 84 123
Dtl. - Kl. Parteien (interner Markt) 87 113
Brandenburg 88 176
NRW - Koalition 89 127
Exits from the Euro-zone 93 116
Federal President Germany 95 251
Hessen - Die Linke 122 130
Schleswig-Holstein 131 214
Thuringia 131 146
Germany 160 180
Dtl. - Bundeskanzler 193 213
Germany 240 559
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2025

  • Several state elections in Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Liechtenstein
  • Presidential elections in Romania, Poland, Ireland, Portugal
  • National elections in Germany, Czech Republic, Netherlands, Norway - Argentina, Australia, Canada

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

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