Kritischer Analyst on political stock market

Registered since:
19.08.2016

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Hungarian parliamentary election, 2026 5 23
Rheinland-Pfalz state elections, 2026 10 41
Baden-Württemberg state elections, 2026 3 46
19 20
10 29
German general election, 2025 (Seats for small parties) 8 25
Burgenland state election, 2024 41 43
German general election, 2025 2 104
US-Presidential election, 2024 (popular vote) 31 35
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 4 41
US-House elections, 2024 6 30
US-Senate elections, 2024 3 31
Steiermark state election, 2024 5 47
Brandenburg state election, 2024 5 44
Sachsen state election, 2024 8 39
Thueringen state election, 2024 37 39
French legislative election, 2024 9 25
United Kingdom general election, 2024 5 26
German European Parliament election, 2024 42 48
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 9 37
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 2 31
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 3 76
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 3 35
12 28
4 26
18 18
Austrian general election,2024 14 85
Bavarian state election, 2023 1 57
Hessen state election, 2023 8 50
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 11 36
Turkish presidential election, 2023 3 38
Bremen state election, 2023 16 39
Salzburg state election, 2023 14 48
Berlin state election, 2023 46 55
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 36 42
28 28
28 29
Austrian presidential election, 2022 3 42
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 4 49
Tirol state election, 2022 35 38
5 17
6 19
4 17
5 22
Dresden mayoral election, 2022 30 34
French legislative election, 2022 32 33
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 1 47
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 4 50
French presidential election, 2022 5 54
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 (kleine Parteien) 16 30
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 20 68
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 20 58

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Bavarian state election, 2023 1 57
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 1 47
German general election, 2025 2 104
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 2 31
Baden-Württemberg state elections, 2026 3 46
US-Senate elections, 2024 3 31
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 3 76
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 3 35
Turkish presidential election, 2023 3 38
Austrian presidential election, 2022 3 42
US-Presidential election, 2024 (538-market) 4 41
4 26
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 4 49
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 4 50
Hungarian parliamentary election, 2026 5 23
Steiermark state election, 2024 5 47
Brandenburg state election, 2024 5 44
United Kingdom general election, 2024 5 26
5 17
French presidential election, 2022 5 54
US-House elections, 2024 6 30
4 17
German general election, 2025 (Seats for small parties) 8 25
Sachsen state election, 2024 8 39
Hessen state election, 2023 8 50
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 9 37
French legislative election, 2024 9 25
Rheinland-Pfalz state elections, 2026 10 41
10 29
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 11 36
12 28
6 19
Austrian general election,2024 14 85
Salzburg state election, 2023 14 48
5 22
Bremen state election, 2023 16 39
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 (kleine Parteien) 16 30
18 18
19 20
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 20 68
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 20 58
28 28
28 29
Dresden mayoral election, 2022 30 34
US-Presidential election, 2024 (popular vote) 31 35
French legislative election, 2022 32 33
Tirol state election, 2022 35 38
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 36 42
Thueringen state election, 2024 37 39
Burgenland state election, 2024 41 43
German European Parliament election, 2024 42 48
Berlin state election, 2023 46 55
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2025

  • Several state elections in Germany, Austria, Switzerland and Liechtenstein
  • Presidential elections in Romania, Poland, Ireland, Portugal
  • National elections in Germany, Czech Republic, Netherlands, Norway - Argentina, Australia, Canada

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
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