milton on political stock market

Registered since:
05.09.2006
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Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
14 16
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2025 16 16
Polish presidential Election 2025 2 23
Romanian presidential Election 2025 13 13
Australian federal elections, 2025 15 15
17 17
9 11
Vienna local elections, 2025 19 20
3 20
28 29
German general election, 2025 (Seats for small parties) 25 25
Vienna local elections, 2025 31 36
German general election, 2025 (direct seats) 24 27
Niederoesterreich local elections, 2025 1 20
Burgenland state election, 2024 3 43
US-Presidential election, 2024 (popular vote) 9 35
US-House elections, 2024 2 30
Steiermark state election, 2024 8 47
Vorarlberg state election, 2024 3 31
Austrian general election, 2024 1 25
Saxony state election, 2024 19 23
French legislative election, 2024 25 25
3 33
Spanish European Parliament election, 2024 3 17
German European Parliament election, 2024 33 48
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 3 20
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 28 31
US Presidential election, 2024 (WTA market) 7 76
Portuguese legislative election, 2024 2 18
5 21
21 26
Salzburg local election, 2024 27 37
Argentine presidential election, 2023 (2nd round) 1 20
Polish parliamentary election, 2023 14 16
Bavarian state election, 2023 56 57
Swiss House of Representatives election 2023 34 36
Bavarian state election, 2023 24 29
Greek legislative election, 2023 II 12 14
Turkish presidential election, 2023 4 38
Salzburg state election, 2023 3 48
Kaernten state election, 2023 12 45
Berlin state election, 2023 11 55
Czech presidential election, 2023 17 20
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 1 20
4 14
Austrian presidential election, 2022 1 42
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 8 49
1 18
Tirol state election, 2022 17 24
Australian federal election, 2022 24 24
Schleswig-Holstein state election, 2022 23 24
Hall in Tirol mayoral election, 2022 22 25
Hall in Tirol local election, 2022 38 38
6 22
37 44
German general election, 2021 (party ranking) 30 36
German general election, 2021 in Bavaria 38 41
German general election, 2021 41 81
Berlin state election, 2021 27 27
Oberösterreich state election, 2021 5 54
9 55
Madrilenian regional election, 2021 2 13
Baden-Württemberg state election, 2021 34 34
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 48 55
German federal election, 2021 2 44
23 49
5 36
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 11 59
3 19
Michigan Democratic Primary, 2020 22 22
Florida Democratic Primary, 2020 19 19
Washington Democratic Primary, 2020 21 21
Super Tuesday Democratic Primaries, 2020 7 26
California Democratic Primary, 2020 18 23
Nevada Democratic Caucus, 2020 21 26
New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2020 20 25
Israeli legislative election, 2020 27 29
Deutscher Fussballmeister 2019/2020 22 29
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 (Mandate) 1 32
Landtagswahl Steiermark 2019 7 42
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 2 49
Koalitionsmarkt Österreich 2019 41 48
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2019 36 101
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 - Direktmandate 42 47
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2019 1 69
Conservative Party leadership election, 2019 5 34
Parlamentswahl Griechenland 2019 1 31
Bürgermeisterwahl Istanbul 2019 10 34
Europawahl Großbritannien 2019 7 57
Europawahl Österreich 2019 3 67
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 7 32
Gemeindevertretungswahl Stadt Salzburg 2019 6 26
Israeli legislative election, Mar 2019 23 24
CDU-Parteivorsitz 2018 (WTA) 39 48
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 3 61
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 64 66
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 68 71
Fußball-WM 2018 38 53
US-Senate elections 2018 4 30
Parlamentswahl Türkei 2018 3 30
Gemeinderatswahl Innsbruck 2018 2 36
Landtagswahl Kärnten 2018 1 31
Parlamentswahl Italien 2018 29 33
Präsidentschaftswahl Tschech. Republik 2018 10 28
Parlamentswahl Katalonien 2017 22 27
Bürgermeisterwahl Salzburg 2017 9 31
Virginia gubernatorial election, 2017 14 18
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 (Drittstärkste Partei) 9 51
Landtagswahl Niedersachsen 2017 (geschlossener Markt) 33 34
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 11 86
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 5 118
Parlamentswahlen Frankreich 2017 2 29
Georgias' 6th congressional district special election, 2017 21 24
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2017 (kleine Parteien) 40 47
Turkish constitutional referendum, 2017 2 28
Präsidentschaftswahl Frankreich 2017 51 60
Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2017 7 25
Gemeinderatswahl Graz 2017 49 52
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (Ost-Berlin) 29 34
US presidential election, 2016 (538) 2 49
Landtagswahl Mecklenburg-Vorpommern 2016 18 58
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (geschlossener Markt) 32 33
California Democratic Primary 2016 5 16
West Virginia Democratic Primary 2016 2 11
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2016 13 65
Maryland Republican Primary 2016 5 13
New York Republican Primary 2016 5 20
Wisconsin Republican Primary 2016 5 18
Arizona Republican Primary 2016 6 18
Florida Republican Primary 2016 2 21
Kansas Republican Caucus 2016 14 16
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2016 16 57
Landtagswahl Sachsen-Anhalt 2016 13 62
Nevada Republican Caucus 2016 3 19
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2016 16 20
Democratic National Convention 2016 21 31
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2016 (geschlossener Markt) 4 34
Greek parliamentary election, 2015 9 34
Landtagswahl Oberösterreich 2015 6 94
Greek referendum, 2015 29 35
British General Elections, 2015 36 45
Parlamentswahl Israel 2015 8 36
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 2015 (kleine Parteien) 51 75
Ministerpräsidentenwahl Thüringen 2014 24 25
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2014 (kleine Parteien) 4 37
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2014 (Koalitionsmarkt) 34 39
Landtagswahl Thüringen 2014 27 40
Unabhängigkeitsreferendum Schottland 2014 18 47
Europawahl Österreich 2014 16 48
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 - Koalitionsmarkt 6 60
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 (kleine Parteien) 98 134
Landtagswahl Bayern 2013 40 89
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 147 206
Tyrolia federal election, 2013 3 72
Koalitionsmarkt Niedersachsen 2013 21 41
Israeli legislative election 2013 12 40
US Presidential election, 2012 (electoral votes - swing states) 32 37
Kaernten federal election, 2013 92 105
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 6 54
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 44 57
New York Republican Primary 2012 9 25
Illinois Republican Primary 2012 2 21
Kansas Republican Caucus 2012 16 25
Republican Super Tuesday 2012 9 33
Michigan Republican Primary 2012 19 27
Nevada Republican Caucus 2012 26 27
Florida Republican Primary 2012 6 34
Iowa Republican Caucus 2012 24 27
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 82 85
Volksentscheid Hamburg 5 54
Volksentscheid Bayern 43 91
NRW - Koalition 102 127
North Rhine-Westphalia 160 193

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
Niederoesterreich local elections, 2025 1 20
Steiermark state election, 2024 1 22
Austrian general election, 2024 1 25
German European Parliament election, 2024 1 23
Salzburg mayoral election, 2024 1 35
Argentine presidential election, 2023 (2nd round) 1 20
Spanish general election, 2023 1 15
Salzburg state election, 2023 1 21
Niederösterreich state election, 2022 1 20
Austrian presidential election, 2022 1 42
1 18
Gemeinderatswahl Wien 2020 (intern) 1 34
Landtagswahl Burgenland 2020 1 53
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 1 21
Parlamentswahl Griechenland 2019 1 31
Landtagswahl Tirol 2018 1 44
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2017 (geschlossener Markt) 1 37
Utah Republican Caucus 2016 1 14
van Staa 1 122
Polish presidential Election 2025 2 23
US-House elections, 2024 2 30
Portuguese legislative election, 2024 2 18
Bremen state election, 2023 2 25
2 28
German federal election, 2021 2 44
Unterhauswahl Großbritannien 2019 2 49
US-Senate 2018 (WTA-Markt) 2 36
Alabama Senate special election, 2017 2 26
Turkish constitutional referendum, 2017 2 28
West Virginia Democratic Primary 2016 2 11
Florida Republican Primary 2016 2 21
Illinois Republican Primary 2012 2 21
Gemeinderatswahlen Innsbruck 2012 2 36
Hamburg - coalitions 2 121
Poland 2 55
Burgenland state election, 2024 3 43
3 33
Spanish European Parliament election, 2024 3 17
Salzburg state election, 2023 3 48
3 33
Israeli legislative election, 2021 3 32
3 19
Bundeskanzlermarkt 2019 3 61
Parlamentswahl Türkei 2018 3 30
Nevada Republican Caucus 2016 3 19
Tyrolia federal election, 2013 3 72
Ukraine 3 59
Turkish presidential election, 2023 4 38
4 34
Bürgermeisterwahl Stadt Salzburg 2019 4 28
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2016 (geschlossener Markt) 4 34
Bürgermeisterwahlen Innsbruck 2012 4 30
4 14
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 5 47
Democratic Presidential Nominee, 2020 5 71
Israeli legislative election, Sep 2019 5 34
SPD-Mitgliederentscheid zur Koalition 2018 5 29
California Democratic Primary 2016 5 16
New York Republican Primary 2016 5 20
South Carolina Republican Primary 2016 5 19
South Carolina Republican Primary 2012 5 33
GRE - NGA 5 35
Republican Primaries 5 80
Hessen state election, 2023 6 50
Europawahl Österreich 2019 (kleine Parteien) 6 54
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (interner Markt) 6 41
Arizona Republican Primary 2016 6 18
Landtagswahl Oberösterreich 2015 6 94
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 6 54
Austria 6 144
Austrian general election,2024 7 85
Landtagswahl Steiermark 2019 7 42
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2019 7 32
France 2007 7 74
Niedersachsen state election, 2022 8 49
Parlamentswahl Israel 2015 8 36
9 11
Saarland state election, 2022 9 46
Kanzlermarkt Österreich 2019 9 44
Bürgermeisterwahl Salzburg 2017 9 31
Parlamentswahl Spanien 2016 9 26
Republican Super Tuesday 2012 9 33
Republican Candidate 9 166
Bayern 9 93
Graz local election, 2021 10 35
Landtagswahl Brandenburg 2019 10 66
Präsidentschaftswahl Tschech. Republik 2018 10 28
Bundestagswahl Deutschland 2013 (privater Markt) 10 30
Australia - preferred 10 38
Czech legislative election, 2021 11 12
US Presidentail eleceton, 2020 11 59
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (kleine Parteien) 11 86
Volksbefragung in Österreich 2013 11 86
Greek legislative election, 2023 II 12 14
Polish presidential election, 2020 12 15
Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2017 7 25
Israeli legislative election 2013 12 40
Romanian presidential Election 2025 13 13
Greek legislative election, 2023 13 15
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2016 13 65
Democratic Primaries 13 132
European Parliament election in France. 2024 14 18
Virginia gubernatorial election, 2017 14 18
Kansas Republican Caucus 2016 14 16
Palestine 14 30
Nevada Democratic Caucus 2016 15 19
Senate elections - Canton Schaffhausen 2025 16 16
French presidential election, 2022 16 54
President Trump Job Approval, 2018-01 16 48
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2016 16 20
Exits from the Euro-zone 16 116
17 17
Tirol state election, 2022 17 24
Nordrhein-Westfalen state election, 2022 18 22
California Democratic Primary, 2020 18 23
Unabhängigkeitsreferendum Schottland 2014 18 47
Vienna local elections, 2025 19 20
Saxony state election, 2024 19 23
Niederösterreich federal election, 2013 19 88
Michigan Republican Primary 2012 19 27
USA Elections 2008 19 294
New Hampshire Democratic Primary, 2020 20 25
United Kingdom 20 52
Hamburg state election, 2025 21 21
Washington Democratic Primary, 2020 21 21
Georgias' 6th congressional district special election, 2017 21 24
Democratic National Convention 2016 21 31
Kärnten 21 137
Schüssel 21 66
Deutscher Fussballmeister 2019/2020 22 29
Parlamentswahl Katalonien 2017 22 27
Petition for a referendum Berlin 22 87
Thueringen state election, 2024 23 23
Italian general election, 2022 23 26
23 49
Israeli legislative election, Mar 2019 23 24
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2008 23 88
Bavarian state election, 2023 24 29
Landtagswahl Nordrhein-Westfalen 2017 (geschlossener Markt) 24 28
Ministerpräsidentenwahl Thüringen 2014 24 25
Polen 24 57
German general election, 2025 (Seats for small parties) 25 25
Gruppe H 25 63
Innsbruck local election, 2024 26 31
Republican National Convention 2016 26 28
Parlamentswahl Griechenland 2015 26 32
Koalitionsmarkt Niedersachsen 2013 21 41
Nevada Republican Caucus 2012 26 27
Salzburg local election, 2024 27 37
Israeli legislative election, 2020 27 29
28 29
Innsbruck mayoral election, 2024 28 31
Iowa Democratic Caucus, 2020 28 31
Parlamentswahl Schweden 2018 28 37
Minnesota Republican Caucus 2012 28 28
Parlamentswahl Italien 2018 29 33
Greek referendum, 2015 29 35
Saarland state election, 2022 30 30
Präsident der EU-Kommission, 2019 30 34
Belgium 30 49
Austrian European Parliament election, 2024 31 37
Sachsen-Anhalt state election, 2021 31 32
Hamburg regional election, 2020 31 36
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 (geschlossener Markt) 32 33
New Hampshire Republican Primary 2012 32 34
German European Parliament election, 2024 33 48
ARG - GER 33 47
Tirol state election, 2022 34 38
Landtagswahl Saarland 2017 (geschlossener Markt) 34 35
Österreich - Koalitionen 34 113
Dtl. - Bundeskanzler 35 213
British General Elections, 2015 36 45
Australia 36 45
Blocher - SVP 37 43
Hall in Tirol local election, 2022 38 38
Fußball-WM 2018 38 53
CDU-Parteivorsitz 2018 (WTA) 39 48
KPÖ - BZÖ 39 129
Landtagswahl Schleswig-Holstein 2017 (kleine Parteien) 40 47
Landtagswahl Bayern 2013 40 89
Italy 40 74
German general election, 2021 41 81
Landtagswahl Vorarlberg 2019 41 47
Ministermärkte 41 204
Gruppe A 42 66
France 42 55
Nationalratswahlen Österreich 2017 (Grüne/Liste Pilz/NEOS) 43 53
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 44 57
Fußball-WM 2014 46 59
Greek parliamentary election 2012 47 54
Rhineland-Palatinate state election, 2021 48 55
Gruppe D 49 72
Landtagswahl Sachsen 2014 50 50
Hamburg regional election, 2020 51 57
Bürgerschaftswahl Hamburg 2015 (kleine Parteien) 51 75
Niederösterreich 51 106
Bayern 1 53 72
United Kingdom 55 79
Bavarian state election, 2023 56 57
Gruppe B 58 75
Abgeordnetenhauswahl Berlin 2016 62 68
Landtagswahl Hessen 2018 64 66
Italien - preferred 65 82
Landtagswahl Bayern 2018 68 71
Germany 70 180
Gemeinderatswahl Vienna 2015 78 122
Opel 80 123
Schweiz - SVP 80 96
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 82 85
Europawahl Deutschland 2014 86 92
German general election, 2025 91 104
FPÖ 93 171
Hessen - Neuwahlen 98 129
LIF 99 234
Wien 90 193
Tirol 126 397
Federal President Germany 133 251
Bundespräsidentenwahl Österreich 2016 151 154
North Rhine-Westphalia 160 193
Hesse 203 319
Austria 2 484 661
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Fine music for political ears

What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

How does this work?

This is how you contribute to the prediction - See the Infocenter

Found an error?
Your Feedback?

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