Herbert on political stock market

Registered since:
14.12.2007

Market ranking - current rank

Market Position Participants
Unabhängigkeitsreferendum Schottland 2014 36 47
Bürgermeisterwahl Saalfelden / Salzburg 2014 44 58
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 (kleine Parteien) 68 134
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 163 327
Salzburg federal election, 2013 23 66
Canton Solothurn - Grand Conseil election, 2013 8 20
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2012/2013 11 67
Exits from the Euro-zone 14 116
US presidential election, 2012 9 80
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 42 54
Euro 2012 - Gruppe D 14 55
Euro 2012 - Gruppe C 40 52
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 47 57
Euro 2012 - Gruppe A 41 51
Deutscher Meister 2012 6 50
Australian Open 2012 - Women's Single 5 21
Australian Open 2012 - Men's Single 9 21
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 25 117
Candidates SPP for the Cabinet 2011 17 83
Senate elections - Canton Bern 75 252
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 134 179
Senate elections in Canton St. Gallen 312 345
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 16 260
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 59 457
US Open 2011 - Women's Single 9 15
US Open 2011 - Men's Single 3 16
Swiss parliamentary elections 2011 - Voter turnout 16 261
Swiss Cabinet election 2011 19 426
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 15 62
Swiss House of Representatives election 2011 - big parties 4 43
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 55 293
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 17 609
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 11 85
Wimbledon 2011 - Ladies' Singles 3 24
French Open 2011 - Men Singles 2 28
French Open 2011 - Women Singles 24 29
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 44 48
CH - Volksabstimmung am 13.02.2011 - Ständemarkt 20 28
Kantonale Wahlen Zürich 2011 14 46
CH - Volksabstimmung am 13.02.2011 18 48
Australian Open Men Singles 2011 21 31
Australian Open Women Singles 2011 10 27
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 50 121
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 39 189
CH - Volksabstimmung am 29.11.2010 11 24
Bundesratsersatzwahl 2010 2 102
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2010/2011 3 93
Nominierungen der FDP für den Bundesrat 4 20
Volksentscheid Hamburg 37 54
Fußball: WM 2010 4 103
Weltmeistermarkt 2010 7 97
NED - ESP 22 29
Wimbledon Championships (Men) 9 35
Wimbledon Championships (Women) 20 36
North Rhine-Westphalia 118 193
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2010 2 69

Market ranking - total

Market Position Participants
French Open 2011 - Men Singles 2 28
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2010 2 69
Bundesratsersatzwahl 2010 2 102
Wimbledon Championships 2009 (Men) 2 64
US Open 2011 - Men's Single 3 16
Wimbledon 2011 - Ladies' Singles 3 24
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2010/2011 3 93
Afrikanische Mannschaften 3 58
MEX - URU 3 31
Australian Open (Men) 3 54
Swiss House of Representatives election 2011 - big parties 4 43
Nominierungen der FDP für den Bundesrat 4 20
Fußball: WM 2010 4 103
NED - JPN 4 38
Australian Open 2012 - Women's Single 5 21
PAR - ESP 5 51
French Open 2009 (Women) 5 48
Australian Open 2009 (Women) 5 80
Deutscher Meister 2012 6 50
Gruppe C 6 68
Aufsteiger 1. Bundesliga 6 70
1. Bundesliga 6 170
Fußball: Dt. Meister 6 80
Vancouver 2010 - Curling D 6 48
Weltmeistermarkt 2010 7 97
BRA - POR 7 27
Eishockey WM 2010 7 61
Australian Open (Women) 7 55
Democratic Primaries 7 132
French Open (Men) 8 43
CH - Volksabstimmung am 08.02.2009 8 78
US presidential election, 2012 9 80
Australian Open 2012 - Men's Single 9 21
US Open 2011 - Women's Single 9 15
NED - URU 9 49
Wimbledon Championships (Men) 9 35
CHI - SUI 9 34
Australian Open Women Singles 2011 10 27
Curling - WM Damen 10 22
Vancouver 2010 - Curling H 10 48
Zürich - Regierungsrat 10 25
CH - Volksabstimmung am 27.09.2009 10 31
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2012/2013 11 67
Republican Presidential Nominee 2012 11 85
CH - Volksabstimmung am 29.11.2010 11 24
ITA - NZL 11 39
Vancouver 2010 - Eishockey 11 64
Wimbledon Championships 2009 (Women) 11 56
SVK - ITA 12 31
POR - PRK 12 29
Gruppe B 12 92
Canton Solothurn - Grand Conseil election, 2013 8 20
SVN - USA 13 39
Champions League Gr. B 13 57
CH - Volksabstimmung am 29.11.2009 - III. 13 45
Dtl. - Bundeskanzler 13 213
US Open (Women) 13 49
Exits from the Euro-zone 14 116
Euro 2012 - Gruppe D 14 55
Kantonale Wahlen Zürich 2011 14 46
ENG - USA 14 35
French Open (Women) 14 40
Song Contest 2010 14 31
Champions League Gr. A 14 65
1. Bundesliga Deutschland 2011/2012 15 62
GER - ESP 15 48
BRA - CIV 15 41
UEFA Europe League Gr. G 15 49
Dtl. - Piraten - Rechte 15 113
Senate elections - Canton Zurich 16 260
Swiss parliamentary elections 2011 - Voter turnout 16 261
GER - AUS 16 55
Champions League 2010 16 72
SPD-Vorsitzender 16 124
Candidates SPP for the Cabinet 2011 17 83
House of Representatives election 2011 – small parties 17 609
CH - Volksabstimmung am 07.03.2010 - II. 17 23
Vancouver 2010 - Goldmedaillen 17 69
UEFA Europe League Gr. L 17 48
CH - Volksabstimmung am 29.11.2009 - II. 17 43
CH - Volksabstimmung am 13.02.2011 18 48
Suisse - Federal Council 2009 18 79
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 18 143
Swiss Cabinet election 2011 19 426
Ski Alpin - Damen 19 49
Germany 19 559
Schweiz - Volksabstimmung 19 44
CH - Volksabstimmung am 13.02.2011 - Ständemarkt 20 28
Wimbledon Championships (Women) 20 36
UEFA Europe League 20 55
Fußball: 1. Bundesliga D 20 122
Australian Open Men Singles 2011 21 31
ARG - GER 21 47
Gruppe G 21 63
NED - ESP 22 29
Champions League Gr. G 22 58
CH - Volksabstimmung am 29.11.2009 - I. 23 27
Australian Open 2008 (Women) 23 47
French Open 2011 - Women Singles 24 29
Gruppe F 24 66
Bern 24 47
Nachwahlen Bundesrat 2008 24 36
Gruppe D 24 76
Fussball Europa-Meisterschaft 2012 25 117
Dtl. - Drittstärkste Partei 25 124
24 - 7th Season III 26 75
Dtl. - Wahlbeteiligung 27 126
Europameister 29 122
RSA - MEX 31 42
UEFA Europe League Gr. C 32 50
Salzburg federal election, 2013 23 66
UEFA Europe League Gr. F 34 39
Dtl. - Ministermarkt 34 94
24 - 7th Season I 34 85
Gruppe E 35 71
USA - Florida 35 77
Unabhängigkeitsreferendum Schottland 2014 36 47
Volksentscheid Hamburg 37 54
Landtagswahl Baden-Württemberg 2011 39 189
URU - GER 39 51
French Open 2009 (Men) 39 53
Euro 2012 - Gruppe C 40 52
Euro 2012 - Gruppe A 41 51
Fussball Europa-Meister 2012 (WTIA-Markt) 42 54
Ski Alpin - Herren 42 47
Fußball: Herbstmeister 42 96
US Open (Men) 42 46
Europameister 1 43 72
Bürgermeisterwahl Saalfelden / Salzburg 2014 44 58
Kantonale Wahlen Luzern 2011 44 48
24 - 7th Season II 44 66
Australian Open 2008 (Men) 44 60
Euro 2012 - Gruppe B 47 57
Landtagswahl Rheinland-Pfalz 2011 50 121
Dtl. - Überhangmandate 51 84
Gruppe B 54 75
House of Representatives election 2011 – smallest parties 55 293
SPD-Kanzlerkandidat 55 156
Schleswig-Holstein 55 103
Germany 58 226
Swiss Senate elections - allocation of seats 59 457
2. Bundesliga 59 103
Dtl. - Koalition 59 252
USA - President 61 221
24 - 7th Season IV 63 71
Democratic Candidate 66 310
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 (kleine Parteien) 68 134
Gruppe D 69 72
Australian Open 2009 (Men) 69 80
Die Linke 71 79
Republican Primaries 72 80
Senate elections - Canton Bern 75 252
Bavaria 76 169
German soccer champion 2009 80 108
Schweiz - Bundesrat 2008 82 88
Dtl. - Kl. Parteien (interner Markt) 84 113
Opel 86 123
Federal President Germany 94 251
North Rhine-Westphalia 118 193
Bavaria 118 132
Republican Candidate 122 166
Senate elections - Canton Solothurn 134 179
Nationalratswahl Österreich 2013 163 327
USA Elections 2008 252 294
Senate elections in Canton St. Gallen 312 345
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What we predict...

Wahlfieber, originally a platform from the German-speaking world, offers (user-based) forecasts on elections worldwide - using political prediction markets without applying any algorythm.

Our focus

Germany / Austria / Switzerland
All national and state elections as well as selected local, mayoral and party elections

Europe
Almost all national elections as well as selected presidential, regional and local elections and votes.

USA
All presidential, senatorial and house elections (including mid-term and most presidential primaries/caucusses) as well as important special and state elections.

UK
All national and state elections as well as important special, local and mayoral elections and votes.

Worldwide
National elections - including Australia, Canada, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, etc.


Important elections in 2023

  • Several state elections in Germany and Austria
  • Presidential election in the Czech Republic
  • National elections in Finland, Turkey, Greece, Poland, Switzerland and Spain

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