Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucuses, 2020

  • Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucuses, 2020

    Wahlfieber Team, 24.02.2020 20:10
    #1

    Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucuses, 2020

    The best predictions:

    1. CBS News / YouGov

    2. Emerson

    3. Wahlfieber.com

    **********

    IA 2020 DEMBidButKloSanWar
    Others
    SumMAFMAPFMQFR
    Caucus


























    Predictions 2020


























    Prediction markets *












    Wahlfieber - final22,3913,879,8023,5316,21
    14,20
    204,605,49148,2150,91
    Wahlfieber - 7 days21,0017,0010,0024,0016,00
    12,00
    167,524,84123,8538,83
    weitere Wahlbörsen








































    Polls












    F R A - D. Binder15,0019,0011,0017,0015,00
    23,00
    381,358,03244,38128,94
    Emerson21,0015,0011,0028,0015,00
    10,00
    124,433,6299,9520,86
    DFP/Civiqs15,0015,008,0028,0021,00
    13,00
    184,285,02138,8340,42
    USA Today - Suffolk25,0018,006,0019,0013,00
    19,00
    314,567,72206,30100,54
    Monmouth23,0016,0010,0021,0015,00
    15,00
    226,025,84156,2863,90
    Iowa St / Civiqs15,0017,0011,0024,0014,00
    14,00
    205,895,70149,6450,55
    NY Times17,0018,008,0025,0015,00
    17,00
    235,785,24175,0355,51
    CBS News / YouGov25,0022,007,0026,0015,00
    5,00
    97,485,0561,3331,10
    CNN / DMR15,0016,006,0020,0017,00
    26,00
    424,078,24277,61138,22




























    Others












    538


























    Durchschnittswerte ***












    Prediction markets **22,3913,879,8023,5316,21
    14,20
    204,605,49148,2150,91
    Polls **19,0017,338,6723,1116,11
    15,78
    225,225,46163,5356,24














    Results 202017,5715,359,6333,9912,81
    1,59





    First Alignment
    BidButKloSanWar
    Others
    SumMAFMAPFMQFR








    XXXXX
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    Legende:

    Namenskürzel:

    • Bid - Joe Biden
    • Blo - Mike Bloomberg
    • But - Pete Buttigieg
    • Klo - Amy Klobuchar
    • San - Bernie Sanders
    • Ste - Tom Steyer
    • War - Elizabeth Warren

    Links:

    Anmerkungen:

    Die häufig vom realen Ergebnis erheblich abweichende CNN-Umfrage wird hier angeführt, da sie auf den Wahlseiten von CNN (s.a. obiger Link) stets als erste, quasi Referenzumfrage aufgelistet wird.

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