North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

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  • North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

    Wanli, 02.03.2020 19:11
    #1

    North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

    The best predictions:

    1. Data for Progress

    2. Wahlfieber.com

    3. Civitas

    **********

    NC 2020 DEMBidBloButKloSanWar
    Others
    Sum
    MAFMAPFMQFR
    Primary






























    Predictions 2020






























    Prediction markets *














    Wahlfieber - final35,718,91,91,526,813,2
    2,0
    50,43
    3,2231,7315,48T
    Wahlfieber - 7 days average38,418,32,51,527,29,9
    2,2
    36,58
    2,4225,089,08T
    Other predictions














































    Polls














    CBS News














    CNN20,018,08,03,029,015,0
    7,0
    155,41
    6,5758,7390,11
    Data for Progress36,018,03,02,027,011,0
    4,0
    28,19
    2,3114,0511,83T
    Emerson














    Monmouth














    NBC News24,015,07,05,026,03,0
    3,0
    106,32
    4,3846,1955,75
    PPP23,017,09,04,020,011,0
    0,0
    138,47
    5,7063,7569,02
    SurveyUSA20,022,011,05,022,08,0
    0,0
    194,10
    7,2686,58100,26
    UMass Lowell16,019,010,07,023,013,0
    6,0
    213,54
    7,1785,81120,56
































    Civitas45,018,03,03,018,07,0
    0,0
    50,68
    3,0634,2313,40T
    East Carolina U.29,014,04,05,025,011,0
    1,0
    70,96
    3,2437,2130,51
    Highpoint24,016,08,03,020,011,0
    6,0
    109,63
    4,8945,5659,18
































































































    Other predictions














    53834,021,02,01,027,013,0
    2,0d65,13
    3,8437,5123,79
















    Averages














    Prediction markets **37,118,62,21,527,011,6
    2,1
    41,99
    2,7427,6511,60
    Polls **26,317,47,04,123,310,9
    3,0
    91,03
    4,0941,8245,12
































    Results 202042,9912,993,282,3224,1110,47
    3,84







    BidBloButBloSanWar
    Others
    Sum
    MAFMAPFMQFR
















    Legende:

    Namenskürzel:

    • Bid - Joe Biden
    • Blo - Mike Bloomberg
    • But - Pete Buttigieg
    • Klo - Amy Klobuchar
    • San - Bernie Sanders
    • War - Elizabeth Warren

    Links:

    Anmerkungen:

    Die häufig vom realen Ergebnis erheblich abweichende CNN-Umfrage wird hier angeführt, da sie auf den Wahlseiten von CNN (s.a. obiger Link) stets als erste, quasi als Referenzumfrage aufgelistet wird. Und zwar unabhängig vom Veröffentlichungsdatum. (nicht selten "uralt")

  • RE: North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary, 2020

    gruener (Luddit), 03.03.2020 23:09, Reply to #1
    #2

    neue Umfragen und Daten wurden eingepflegt.

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